CBS Renew/Cancel Week 9: Has FBI Already Received Its Final Renewal? Plus, an Outlook on Fellow Franchise-Starters NCIS and Fire Country

This week on the CBS Renew/Cancel, an extra-special edition centering on the three franchise-starters currently on CBS's lineup, including the already-renewed FBI. Keep reading to see which is due for a prediction change and which is looking to be on the ice.

Prediction Key:

Week 9 Predictions:

Shows' 18-49 demo average, weekly peak performance on Paramount+, and MP+35 viewership are listed in parenthesis

NCIS: NCIS is a very old show, on a network that's shown a clear preference for younger - and, going hand-in-hand, less expensive - shows. That's really its only liability, and it's probably going to do it in sooner than its ratings warrant. That won't be now, as NCIS remains the powerful flagship series in one of CBS's most important brands. Its spinoffs aren't doing nearly well enough to be seen as viable replacements for it, so CBS still needs it around for at least another season. It's still doing well in multiplatform viewing for its current episodes, with its premiere rating being strong enough for it to rank ninth across broadcast TV in MP+35 ratings, with older episodes also being a valuable asset on Paramount+. Given the value of the NCIS IP, and CBS's penchant for spinning off their top titles (particularly this series, which has spawned six spinoffs), it won't be much of a surprise to see NCIS joined by a new spinoff on the schedule next season, given that Origins and Sydney are both in clear danger after seasons of middling linear and multiplatorm ratings. When and if CBS graces us with another NCIS, they'll want the hit franchise-starter as a launchpad. NCIS is upgraded this week to a certain renewal, though it's a bit less safe than shows like Survivor and Tracker.

FBI: Speaking of acronym-titled franchise starters about government departments, FBI is in its second season of a three-season renewal. Its status on CBS has been heavily downgraded this season, as have its ratings. It's an outright linear ratings flop, averaging just a 0.23 in the demo. Only five scripted shows on CBS are performing worse, and four of those shows air at 10 PM, and two air on Friday. It was always destined to plunge in the ratings as it moved from its longtime home on Tuesdays and shifted to a 9 PM time slot after our years at 8, but 42% is dramatic. Its multiplatform ratings have also taken a hit. It averaged 10.6 million viewers in MP+35 ratings, and while we don't know its exact MP+35 average this season, it didn't even crack 10 million viewers for its season premiere in that metric. This show is clearly in decline, and many viewers that didn't stick with watching it live after it moved to a new night aren't bothering to catch up on DVR or Paramount+. The way things are going, this is likely not a case of if Season 9 will be the last, but rather when that will be announced. The question now turns to if CIA gets a proper launchpad out o an ailing FBI, and if it can be the FBI franchise replacement likely once hoped it would be. Regardless, FBI looks like it's on its way out soon, and with CBS clearly deprioritizing it this season, it would be a shock if it were renewed past season nine. Its performance this season would certainly warrant dropping that axe.

Fire Country: Last and least of franchise starters we have Fire Country, which is faltering at the worst possible time. It does seem to do OK on streaming, performing about on par with Sheriff Country there, but it is worth noting that it does have more episodes. to stream than Sheriff, so its performance on the Paramount+ is likely influenced by people watching old episodes. Its multiplatorm ratings are certainly concerning, in addition to the linear ratings slump. After averaging 9.6 million viewers in MP+35 this season, Fire Country wasn't even in the top twenty in Nielsen's recent MP+35 report. The top ten is all that's been publicly shared, and it encompassed all shows above ten million viewers. CBS noted that FBI, Georgie & Mandy, and 60 Minutes were their shows ranked between eleventh and twentieth. Last season, 8.9 million viewers was enough to crack the top twenty on broadcast in MP+35. The #10 show in this season's report came in a million viewers below last season's #10 show, so the #20 show was probably a bit under that 8.9 million viewers figure. If Fire Country debuted in the mid-to-high 8 million range, it's down about a million viewers from last season's average, and it's at least three million viewers behind the other Friday shows, including its own spinoff. Forbes has reported that a new "Country" drama, Rescue Country, is in early development. Given the middling season Fire Country has had, in which it's sunk 40% and has set a new series low four times in just seven episodes, one has to wonder if this is a plan to expand the Country universe or the beginning of plans to replace Fire Country, which is struggling to keep up with Sheriff Country. Fire Country still seems to be safe for now. It would be very unusual for a show to be canceled the same season it premieres a promising spinoff, especially after Fire was always solid before this season. It remains a certain renewal, but the future of CBS's Friday night remains a question mark, as we're let to wonder if it will become an all-Country night or if an existing show will end if Rescue Country really is on its way. 


Interactive Schedule:


The TV Ratings Guide 8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00
Mon The Neighborhood DMV FBI Watson
Tues NCIS NCIS: Origins NCIS: Sydney
Wed Survivor The Amazing Race
Thurs Georgie & Mandy’s First Marriage Ghosts Matlock Elsbeth
Fri Sheriff Country Fire Country Boston Blue
Sun Tracker The Road Encores
Renewed
Certain Renew
Likely Renew
Leans Renew
Leans Cancel
Likely Cancel
Certain Cancel
Canceled

What do you think of these predictions? What are your predictions? Let us know in the comments and vote in the poll below!

The Princess Royal Season 5 Christmas Special - Away in a Manger

The Princess Royal Season 5 Christmas Special
Away in a Manger

NBC Renew/Cancel Week 12: The Voice’s Voice is Sounding Faint

This week on the NBC Renew/Cancel, it's a coincidentally Reba McEntire-centric edition, I take another look at The Voice and Happy's Place. Keep reading to see if either show is on the move this week.

Tuesday TV Ratings 12/9/25: NBC Wins the Night with Frosty the Snowman and Shrek the Halls, NCIS: Origins and NCIS: Sydney Plummet to Series Lows, Kevin Costner Presents: The First Christmas Respectable

Analysis to come.

Monday TV Ratings 12/8/25: Password Holiday Special Struggles, Celebrity Weakest Link Rises for Finale, DMV, The Neighborhood and Watson Hit Series Lows

Analysis to come.

Saturday TV Ratings 12/6/25: Saturday Night Live Dips After Break, Big Ten Championship Dominates, She’s Making a List Solid for Hallmark

Analysis and cable ratings to come.

Friday TV Ratings 12/5/25: Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer Tops College Football to Lead the Night, Fire Country Hits Another Series Low

Analysis to come.

Raymond Island Season 7 Episode 6 - Nowell, Nowell

Raymond Island Season 7, Episode 6
Nowell, Nowell

ABC Renew/Cancel Week 11: The Great Christmas Light Fight Will Keep the Lights on Next Christmas

On the final ABC Renew/Cancel of 2025, we focus on a holiday staple on ABC that's still awaiting a renewal. Plus, an update on a show that recently had its prediction upgraded.

Thursday TV Ratings 12/4/25: Next Level Baker Bombs, The Grinch Leads the Night, Matlock Rises, The Great Christmas Light Fight Returns Slightly Lower

Analysis to come.

Wednesday TV Ratings 12/3/25: Christmas in Rockefeller Center Dips from 2024, Abbott Elementary Drops to Series Low, Survivor on Top

Analysis to come.

Tuesday TV Ratings 12/2/25: Dancing with the Holidays Solid but Well Below Dancing with the Stars Average, NCIS: Origins Jumps, Murder in a Small Town Ends Down

Analysis to come.

Monday TV Ratings 12/1/25: The Neighborhood Stumbles to Series Low Behind Struggling DMV, St. Denis Medical Leads Broadcast, The Wonderful World of Disney: Holiday Spectacular Solid

Analysis to come. 

Our House Season 8 Episode 10 - Our Christmissing (Midseason Finale)

Our House Season 8 Episode 10
Our Christmissing

Sunday TV Ratings 11/30/25: Prep & Landing: The Snowball Protocol Decent in Premiere, Tracker and IT: Welcome to Derry Rise, Santa Claus is Comin’ to Town Heavily Down from 2024 in Move to 10 PM

Analysis to come.

NBC Renew/Cancel Week 11: Stumble May Stumble Into a Second Season

It's another comedy-centric NBC Renew/Cancel this week, as Stumble gets the spotlight again, while I also provide an update on the highly-rated St. Denis Medical. Keep reading to see which show - if any - is due for a prediction shift this week.

Saturday TV Ratings 11/29/25: A Grand Ole Opry Christmas Solid on Hallmark, ABC Easily Tops the Night with Alabama/Auburn College Football Game, 48 Hours Dips

Analysis to come.

Friday TV Ratings 11/28/25: A Paw Patrol Christmas Solid, The More the Merrier Strong on Hallmark, Texas A&M/Texas College Football Game Dominates

Analysis to come.

Thursday TV Ratings 11/27/25: We Met In December OK on Hallmark, NFL Tops Thanksgiving 2024, Elsbeth Nears Series High for Post-Basketball Repeat

Analysis to come.

Boston Blue and Sheriff Country Renewed for Second Seasons by CBS


Christmas has come very early for two of CBS's freshman dramas, with the network handing renewals to both Boston Blue and Sheriff Country before the year has even reached its end. Both part of a reformed Friday night lineup, the two dramas have been successful additions to the CBS slate. Both are also part of notable "brands" for CBS, something the network has recently highlighted the importance of Boston Blue is a spinoff/sequel to the long-running Friday night staple Blue Bloods, which ended last year, and Sheriff Country is the long-gestating spinoff of CBS's popular Fire Country. Sheriff Country has been a fairly strong linear ratings performer, averaging 0.25 in the demo. That's the highest of any CBS Friday show, and also the highest average of any Friday show this season. Boston Blue has been a more modest linear performer, with a 0.18 average, but like Sheriff Country, it is a top twenty show in total viewers in the coveted multiplatform-plus-seven metric. Notably, both shows are rating ahead of Fire Country - which has not yet been renewed - in that metric. Also boosting Boston Blue was its strong international sales, being sold into over one hundred international markets. Donnie Wahlberg reprised his Blue Bloods role in Boston Blue, while Morena Baccarin stars in Sheriff Country. Both are correct predictions for The TV Ratings Guide.

Wednesday TV Ratings 11/26/25: SNL Thanksgiving Barely Down from 2024, Survivor Dips, Sidelined: The QB and Me Atrocious on Fox

Analysis to come.

Tuesday TV Ratings 11/25/25: Dancing with the Stars Soars to Ten-Year High for Finale, Murder in a Small Town Steady at Season High, NBA and Doc Tick Up

Analysis to come.

Marietta Season 8 Episode 11 - Blue Christmas (Midseason Finale)

Marietta Season 8 Episode 11
Blue Christmas

Evergreen Aimee Season 5 Episode 6 - Freedom of Speech

Evergreen Aimee Season 5 Episode 6
Freedom of Speech

CBS Renew/Cancel Week 7: NCIS: Origins Is In Trouble + Could The Sheriff Ever Get Fire Country Fired?

It was a quiet week on CBS this week, but that doesn't mean it's another quiet week of the CBS Renew/Cancel, as it's time for multiple prediction changes this week, including one show's prediction shifting from a renewal to a cancellation. Keep reading to see which shows are on the move!

Monday TV Ratings 11/24/25: Everybody Loves Raymond Reunion Special Strong, St. Denis Medical Jumps, DMV Dips to Series Low

Analysis to come.

Stormere Season 1 Episode 10: Reckoning (Midseason Finale)

Sunday TV Ratings 11/23/25: Universal Basic Guys Soars to Series High Behind NFL, Tracker Ties Season Low, Melt My Heart This Christmas OK on Hallmark

Analysis to come.

Saturday TV Ratings 11/22/25: Holiday Touchdown: A Bills Love Story is Highest-Rated Hallmark Christmas Film of 2025 To-Date, Tennessee/Florida Game Tops Weaker Night for College Football, NWSL Soccer Championship Up from 2024

Analysis to come.

Friday TV Ratings 11/21/25: Fire Country Slides to Another Series Low, Stumble Ticks Up as Happy’s Place Declines, Celebrity Wheel of Fortune Repeat Tops Broadcast [+ Analysis]

Sheriff Country (0.28, -0.02) was down slightly on CBS, while Fire Country (0.17, -0.06) and Boston Blue (0.15, -0.06) dealt with more sizable declines. NBC's Happy's Place (0.22, -0.02) and Dateline (0.16, -0.03) were both down, but Stumble (0.18, +0.01) was up in the middle. 20/20 (0.23, +0.11) surged on ABC, with the help of a shockingly strong Celebrity Wheel rerun (0.31). Fox aired college basketball (0.15). Penn & Teller (0.04, -0.01) lost a hundredth on the CW, while Masters of Illusion (0.04, +0.01) gained one. Key: (R) = repeat.

Thursday TV Ratings 11/20/25: Elsbeth Barely Rises at Special Time, Georgie & Mandy Ties Season High, Law & Order and SVU Also Rise for Midseason Finales [+ Analysis]

CBS's Elsbeth (0.20, +0.02) was moved up an hour for the night, but it barely benefited from the more favorable scheduling. Earlier in the evening, Georgie & Mandy (0.42, +0.03) rose, but Ghosts (0.36, -0.03) fell. Law & Order (0.28, +0.06) and Law & Order: SVU (0.32, +0.02) were both up on NBC. Repeats of 9-1-1: Nashville (0.22/0.16/0.14) aired on ABC. Fox's Hell's Kitchen (0.23, +0.03) recovered, while Special Forces (0.16, -0.02) cooled down on finale night. Police 24/7 (0.04, +0.02) doubled on the CW. Key: (R) = repeat. (F) = finale. 

Marietta Season 8 Episode 10 - Soup for You

Marietta Season 8 Episode 10
Soup for You

Wednesday TV Ratings 11/19/25: CMA Awards Down 20% from 2024, Survivor and The Amazing Race Rebound, The Floor Slides [+ Analysis]

The CMA Awards (0.65) declined by almost 20% from last year's broadcast (0.81) on ABC, barely fending off a rising edition of CBS's Survivor (0.61, +0.07) in the Adults 18-49 demographic. Later in the night, The Amazing Race (0.28, +0.05) was also up. NBC's airing of the 2024 film Wicked (0.28) outrated Fox game shows The Floor (0.23, -0.11) and 99 to Beat (0.19, -0.08). Law & Order Toronto (0.03, -0.02) was down again on the CW. Key: (R) = repeat.