December 16th Predictions
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| Photo Credit: Fox |
Below are the Week 12 renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2023-24 television season. The numbers listed in the table mark the Nielsen rating low, average, and high for each respective program in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The "Y2Y (year-to-year) Change" column denotes how much the series has risen or fallen when compared to its average from the previous season. Because of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes, there is a limited amount of scripted programming this fall. As a result, reality television will now be included in this column.
Snake Oil: The first season of Snake Oil ended with a small dip on Wednesday, December 13th. The David Spade game show shed two-hundredths and posted a passable 0.24 rating in the Adults 18-49 demographic. Snake Oil can be best be described as a marginal performer as it did just enough to get by but never appeared to be anything more than a modest retainer of The Masked Singer's audience. It was quite concerning when the series crashed to a 0.19 in late November, but it has otherwise been relatively stable in the 0.24-0.26 range for some time now. It's definitely not a breakout hit, but Snake Oil can still survive on Fox with these numbers.
LEGO Masters: LEGO Masters also aired its season finale this week but dropped to a new series low in the process. Masters finished its fall run with a meager 0.20 rating and was nearly 50% lower than the episode of Hell's Kitchen (0.39) that aired right before it. The fact that LEGO Masters has already been picked up for a fifth season proves that live ratings do not matter in the same way that they used to. Fox is clearly content with this lackluster performance given that the series had already scored a season five renewal before season four even aired.
Hell's Kitchen: Hell's Kitchen posted a new season high on December 14th, growing to a 0.39 rating after being stuck at a 0.38 for two weeks. This ultimately made Hell's the highest-rated show of the night altogether, a rarity for Fox on nights without WWE Smackdown or an NFL boost. It's easy to forget that this is the same show that premiered with a paltry 0.29 in September. Now, it is practically on-par with a juggernaut like The Masked Singer. Most shows that debuted with a rounded 0.3 three months ago would probably be at a 0.2 or below by December, but Hell's only seems to have grown stronger and is almost about to break the 0.40 threshold. Fox could do without a good chunk of their reality library, but Hell's Kitchen is one program they desperately need.
The Masked Singer: Though it did rise to a 0.39 this week, The Masked Singer is clearly declining in strength. There is no longer any meaningful difference between Singer and Hell's in terms of ratings size, even though Hell's likely costs the network much less. One would think that this series would have to stabilize at some point, but it continues to fall lower and lower.
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