Predictions for 03/23/24
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| Photo Credit: FOX |
Below are the Week 22 renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2023-24 television season. The numbers listed in the table mark the Nielsen rating low, average, and high for each respective program in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The "Y2Y (year-to-year) Change" column denotes how much the series has risen or fallen when compared to its average from the previous season. Because of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes, there is a limited amount of scripted programming this spring. As a result, reality television will continue to be included in this column. Now that scripted programming is returning, scripted and reality will be split into two separate charts.
Scripted
Alert: Since its March 5th premiere,
Alert: Missing Persons Unit has only gotten weaker and weaker in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The 0.18 rating it posted on premiere night was already a new series low, but it then fell to a
0.17 and most recently to a
0.14. This series is one of Fox's poorest performers, and it is unlikely that things will improve from here.
Alert was hardly worth renewing to begin with, but it's hard to imagine that it slips through the cracks again with numbers like these. This sophomore drama remains
Likely to be Canceled.
Family Guy: After a semi-decent start to its Wednesday night stint,
Family Guy crumbled in the same way that
Alert did (
0.20 >
0.16 >
0.14). On a historically-adjusted basis, a 0.14 may very well be this show's poorest performance ever, even when compared to how it was doing before its first cancellation. In terms of raw ratings, it is a clear series low. Of course, ratings hardly matter for a juggernaut like
Family Guy, but the time slot downgrade and poor Nielsen numbers signal that Fox is getting ready to get rid of the Griffin family.
Animal Control: Though
Animal Control held steady at a 0.21 rating for two weeks, things took a turn for the worse when episode three fell to a meager
0.17. The Joel McHale sitcom retained less than 50% of
The Masked Singer (0.38) and set a new series low here. This one is already
Renewed for a third season and allegedly performs quite well on digital platforms, but the live ratings are starting to shrink to the point where it's looking like a real eyesore.
Bob's Burgers: After a two-month hiatus, Fox randomly brought
Bob's Burgers back on March 10th to air behind a
Simpsons rerun on
Oscars night. Since this was also an out-of-time slot airing, it almost seemed like Fox was doing all they could to tank the series. And yet, miraculously,
Bob's posted a
0.29 rating and built on its repeat lead-in (0.17) by more than a full tenth! Considering that this will likely be the only 0.3 rating to come out of a Fox cartoon this spring, it is clear that
Bob's remains incredibly valuable from a live ratings standpoint.
Bob's will once more be placed on a two-month hiatus, with its finale currently set for
May 19 at 9:30 p.m.
Bob's could have just aired these two episodes in January and properly wrapped up its shortened season, but Fox works in mysterious ways and enjoys erratically tossing episodes into random slots.
The Great North: On the night when
Bob's Burgers occupied the 8:30 p.m. slot with its solid 0.29 rating,
The Great North shot up to a 0.21 rating. Once
Krapopolis returned to 8:30,
Great North crashed back down to a
0.13. It is clear that this series is not anchor material, but it would probably do fine business if it was at the bottom of an hour led by
Bob's.
Fox Renew/Cancel March Madness begins!
Beginning this week and continuing for the next few weeks, we'll be running an NCAA-style "March Madness" bracket tournament among FOX shows, featuring their nine scripted shows facing off in matchups in the hopes of being named readers' favorite FOX show. Vote in the polls below:
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