Predictions for 03/30/24
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| Photo Credit: Fox |
Below are the Week 23 renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2023-24 television season. The numbers listed in the table mark the Nielsen rating low, average, and high for each respective program in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The "Y2Y (year-to-year) Change" column denotes how much the series has risen or fallen when compared to its average from the previous season. Because of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes, there is a limited amount of scripted programming this spring. As a result, reality television will continue to be included in this column. Now that scripted programming is returning, scripted and reality will be split into two separate charts.
Reality
Krapopolis: Though it almost felt like the star of Fox's fall 2023 lineup for being the only new scripted series on the network, Krapopolis has fallen off the radar since. Ratings have diminished to slivers as those prime football lead-ins are no longer in the picture. The animated comedy can currently be found hovering in the frighteningly low 0.11-0.15 range in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The latest episode of Krap managed a meager 0.13 rating and declined from a Simpsons episode (0.17) that serves as the latter's lowest-rated installment. To cut Krap some slack, retention here really isn't all that different from the 8:30 offerings of years past, but The Simpsons is just so low this spring that the show airing after it can't even afford to drop from it. Regardless, it seems Fox is disappointed in this show's performance. According to Futon Critic, an episode with the production code "KRA-201" aired on February 18th. Since then, episodes 209, 204, 202, and 203 have also aired. This makes it clear that Fox has finished airing the 13-episode first season of Krapopolis and is now trying to burn through episodes from its second production cycle as fast as possible. Episodes with a "20_" production code would probably have been saved for Fall 2024 if Krapopolis was a ratings winner. Instead, it appears Fox has buyer's remorse and is trying to get rid of their Krap stockpile. So, even though Krapopolis scored a three-season renewal last year, it will probably be gone a lot sooner than expected.
Animal Control: Animal Control climbed to a 0.22 rating in the Adults 18-49 demographic, setting a new season high in the process. This looks great on paper, but it only seemed to happen because its Masked Singer lead-in (0.43) rose significantly and comedy competitor Abbott Elementary was in repeat-mode. Up is up, but this growth does not signify that Animal Control is suddenly building an audience, it just benefited from better circumstances. But, considering the early renewal it got, this is more than enough for it to survive on Fox.
Hell's Kitchen: Fox recently renewed Hell's Kitchen for two more seasons. This serves as a correct prediction for this column and should come as no surprise. Outside of The Floor and The Masked Singer, Hell's serves as one of the network's strongest reality options. Fox seems to have a solid relationship with Gordon Ramsay, and his shows almost always deliver when it comes to Nielsen ratings. This one was a given.
Fox Renew/Cancel March Madness Continues!
Our NCAA-style "March Madness" bracket tournament continues this week and will wrap up next week. Alert fans put up a good fight, but it was The Simpsons that pulled ahead. Family Guy, meanwhile, completely trounced Grimsburg in its match-up. The Cleaning Lady pulled off a similar feat against Krapopolis. And Bob's Burgers held a comfortable lead against Animal Control. The remaining two matches are shown below, please vote!
Note: The bracket above depicts the voting data collected between March 23, 2024 and March 30, 2024. Any voting that happens after that cannot be recorded for the sake of moving the tournament forward.
