First Week Peak: The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives and The Paper Return, Snowfall Spinoff, New Mike Schur Comedy, and More Premiere

 

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Dang! (Season 1)
Premieres: September 8 on Netflix
Genre: Adult animation
Synopsis: After their sister Ruthie blows up her perfect life, Andrew and Eunice show her the fun in being flawed as she helps them adult in this animated sitcom.

Going For It

Dang! hails from creator and voice star Andrew Law, who was a writer on popular comedies like Hacks, The Good Place, and Silicon Valley. It's also executive produced by Mike Schur, who created A Man on the Inside for Netflix as well as broadcast sitcoms like Parks and Recreation, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, and The Good Place. 


Going Against It

While Mike Schur is behind some of the most well-known comedies of the 21st century, A Man on the Inside failed to make Netflix's weekly US TV Shows Top 10 in either of its first two seasons. It holds just a 1.2 Attention Score today per Television Stats. Animation is also a tough genre on Netflix, though Haunted Hotel was able to make a Top 10 appearance in November.


Daily Peak Prediction: #9 on Netflix
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Renew

The Drop: A Snowfall Saga (Season 1)
Premieres: September 8 on Hulu
Genre: Crime drama
Synopsis: FX's "The Drop: A Snowfall Saga," the new drama from Malcolm Spellman and producers of the acclaimed FX series "Snowfall," will premiere Tuesday, September 8 at 9 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. PT on FX and Hulu. One new episode of the eight-episode series will be available weekly following the premiere. The series will also stream on Disney+ internationally. "The Drop: A Snowfall Saga" follows "Snowfall" characters Wanda Bell (Gail Bean) and Leon Simmons (Isaiah John) as they fight to reinvent themselves in 90s Los Angeles, where the fallout from the crack epidemic is fueling a new game: the rise of West Coast rap.

Going For It

First premiering in 2017, Snowfall became a popular series for FX in its six season, 60 episode run. If this spinoff is no different, it should have little trouble competing with Project Runway on Hulu's chart. At the very least, a single day at #1 should be obtainable from the curiosity factor.


Going Against It

It's been over three years since the series finale of Snowfall aired. Even in its heyday, Snowfall only peaked at a 9.6 Attention Score per Television Stats, and currently sits at a 2.1. Also, recent FX on Hulu shows like Adults and It's Always Sunny In Philadelphia have struggled a bit on the Top 15 chart.


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Hulu
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Cancel/Retroactively Labeled as a Limited Series

Last Seen (Season 1)
Premieres: September 9 on Apple TV
Genre: Thriller drama
Synopsis: Today, Apple TV revealed a first look at new six-episode Australian thriller "Last Seen" (FKA "The Dispatcher"), starring Gotham Award winner Patrick Brammall and adapted by acclaimed writer and executive producer Kris Mrksa from CWA John Creasey Dagger Award-winning author Ryan David Jahn's book, "The Dispatcher." "Last Seen," set and filmed in Victoria, Australia, is directed and executive produced by Emmy Award-nominated filmmaker Christian Schwochow and will make its global debut on Wednesday, September 9 with two episodes, followed by a new episode every Wednesday until October 7, 2026. Police detective Ian Ridley's (Brammall) life fell apart 11 years ago when his young daughter, Maggie, disappeared without a trace. Now working as a police dispatcher, the only thing that has kept him going is his implacable refusal to accept that she might be gone forever. When he receives a distress call from a teenage girl he is certain is Maggie, he will stop at nothing to find her and reunite his broken family, whatever the cost.

Going For It

Silo has finished airing its third season, which will reduce Last Seen's active competition. It's already had a special screening in Sydney ahead of its worldwide release.


Going Against It

Even though Silo has completed airing, Ted Lasso and Dark Matter have not. All three shows will be formidable competition for the first two episodes of an Australian miniseries.


Daily Peak Prediction: #3 on Apple TV
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Miniseries

The Paper (Season 2)
Premieres: September 9 on Peacock
Genre: Workplace comedy
Synopsis: The documentary crew from Dunder Mifflin's Scranton branch discovers a struggling Midwestern newspaper and the publisher trying to revive it.

Going For It

The Paper currently holds a 3.1 Attention Score per Television Stats, which is modest yet still strong enough to be the fifth-highest Peacock original. Even though it's unlikely to touch the 20s that it reached in its first season, The Paper should have no trouble cracking Peacock's Top 10.


Going Against It

Unlike Apple TV, Peacock's chart holds far more than Peacock originals. In fact, it's almost exclusively not Peacock originals on any given week. The Paper could face the reality of coming behind Dateline NBC or one of many Real Housewives shows.


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Peacock
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Cancel

Crew Girl (Season 1)
Premieres: September 10 on Netflix
Genre: Sports teen drama
Synopsis: After a family scandal, teen rower Teagan Tao moves to a small town and joins an elite prep school's all-boys crew, sparking rivalry and attraction.

Going For It

Crew Girl likely has a better chance at a #1 debut than Netflix's other new series, animated comedy Dang!, simply because of the nature of the two series. It has a high ceiling if Netflix lets it be discovered.


Going Against It

There hasn't been a whole lot of coverage for the upcoming premiere of Crew Girl. In fact, the series has yet to even receive its own Wikipedia page. This could become a victim of Netflix's new 'quality over quantity' mantra it underperforms.


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Netflix
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Cancel

The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives (Season 5)
Premieres: September 10 on Hulu
Genre: Reality
Synopsis: The scandalous world of a group of Mormon mom influencers implodes when they get caught in the midst of a swinging sex scandal that makes international headlines. Now, their sisterhood is shook to its core. Faith, friendship and reputations are all on the line. Will #MomTok be able to survive and continue to give the rulebook a run for its money, or will this group fall from grace?

Going For It

Season 4 of The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives spent four consecutive days at #1 on Hulu's Top 15 chart in March when it premiered. It reached an 18.5 Attention Score the day after it premiered.


Going Against It

There are only five episodes in the fifth season of The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives, compared to ten in Season 4. There could also be some fatigue, given this will be the third season in ten months. It will also continue to co-star the controversial Taylor Frankie Paul, who infamously got The Bachelorette pulled from ABC's schedule shortly before it was set to premiere.


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Hulu
Overall Success Prediction: High
Renew/Cancel Prediction: RenewThe 

Share this

Related Posts

Latest
Previous
Next Post »