Showing posts with label first week peak. Show all posts
Showing posts with label first week peak. Show all posts

First Week Peak: The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins Will Rise Into Peacock’s Top 10

The Ratings Junkie Sunday, November 01, 2026

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. All Attention Scores come from Television Stats as of October 31, 2026. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Streaming Premieres

Netflix premieres another new docuseries this week with Taken: Natalee Holloway. If this performs anything like their other recent docuseries, it will premiere at #1 and dominant the chart for some time. Netflix has become the go-to streamer for the genre, so this failing to reach #1 would be the exception, not the rule. 

The streamer will also bring back British drama Black Doves, which aired its six-episode first season/series in 2024 to immense success. The long wait time and competition from a brand new docuseries risks this being blocked from #1, at least in the United States. It should still perform well enough for a renewal.

Netflix's third premiere of the week is the anime series Bass X Machina, which will likely serve a more niche audience. Its fate could go either way, but Netflix has expressed a desire recently to cut back on the number of original programs in their lineup.

Elsewhere, Apple TV's golf comedy Stick will return for its second season this coming week. It's already made pretty consistent appearances in their top 10 chart, which is a strong signal it will perform well upon its return. It also holds a 3.8 Attention Score, and could plausibly rival its 15.2 peak when it returns. While Apple TV has next to no catalog to compete with the other streaming services for total market share, their original series have clearly become competitive.

Hulu's All's Fair will return for its second season next week, and holds a much weaker 1.5 Attention Score. It's gone as high as a 19.9 before, but even then would have to compete with ABC's scripted lineup, Swipe Right on the Deal, Reasonable Doubt, TheDrop: A Snowfall Saga, and The Kardashians for the top spot. A renewal can be eked out, but a #1 debut is less likely.

Prime Video will premiere the miniseries The Greatest, which holds a 1.5 Attention Score. It has an uphill battle to #1 given the continued dominance of The Terminal List, with Carrie holding consistently at #2.

Broadcast Premieres

ABC's R.J. Decker may be done for the season (series?), but that doesn't mean NBC has premiered its full fall slate yet. Indeed, Monday comedies St. Denis Medical and The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins will return for their third and second seasons this coming week, respectively. Neither are particularly strong players on Peacock's Top 10 chart, which sees NBC's offerings compete with Bravo programming. However, The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins' Attention Score has crept up recently and both Friday comedies charted well, so there's reason to believe St. Denis Medical and The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins can both make chart appearances this coming week.

First Week Peak: The One About Matthew Perry to be The One to Peak at #1

The Ratings Junkie Sunday, October 25, 2026

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. All Attention Scores come from Television Stats as of October 25, 2026. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Six shows are premiering on streaming services this coming week, and all of them are series premieres. This includes two Netflix miniseries: the Matthew Perry 3-episode biography The One About Matthew Perry, and the 3-episode true crime docuseries The Fall of El Mayo. The true crime docuseries sub-genre performs extraordinarily well on Netflix, which gives reason to believe The Fall of El Mayo will be sampled upon its premiere. However, it is not expected to surpass The One About Matthew Perry from the top spot, which has the chance to dominate the chart for days.

Outside of miniseries, the most high-profile series premiere is Apple TV's crime drama Nocturne, based on the novels Lazarus and The Sandman. While it would be a tall task to surpass shows like Ted Lasso and Slow Horses on Apple TV's now-competitive chart, its 6.6 Attention Score demonstrates the series is getting early exposure and has the potential to perform well.

Hulu will be premiering a strategy/reality competition series The Mob this coming week. The show hails from the producers of The Traitors, and could turn out as being seen as anything between the next reality phenom and a cheap ripoff. While this would very likely perform well for Peacock, it's less certain for Hulu.

Netflix has two comedies making their series premieres this coming week: Minimum Wage and How to Ruin Diwali: Meet the Parents. Minimum Wage is a Netflix adaptation of an independent YouTube series, and co-stars new Saturday Night Live cast member Grace Reiter. While its short length time and comedy's general underperformance on Netflix make this unlikely to top the chart, it will likely cultivate enough of a cult audience to get renewed. Similar can be said for How to Ruin Diwali: Meet the Parents, which is of South African origin and much more likely to make a chart appearance in South Africa than it is in the United States.



First Week Peak: Does Nobody Want This From Netflix and Will Phony Be A Phony?

The Ratings Junkie Sunday, October 18, 2026

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. All Attention Scores come from Television Stats as of October 15, 2026. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Streaming Premieres


After a busy week last week crowded with premieres, only three streaming services will premiere shows this coming week. Most notably, Prime Video is bringing back The Terminal List for a second season after a four-year hiatus. The show has already spawned a prequel miniseries 2025's The Terminal List: Dark Wolf during the lengthy hiatus. The Terminal List racked up over 1 billion minutes viewed within its first month back in July 2022, and held a 5.0 Attention Score on October 15 according to Television Stats. While a #1 debut is predicted, it will have to surpass Prime Video's popular new miniseries Carrie to do so.

Netflix is bringing romantic comedy Nobody Wants This back for a third season this coming week. The second season did top Netflix's Top 10 chart, and holds a respectable-enough 3.6 Attention Score. Both are indicators that Nobody Want This will likely see a strong chart debut. However, the series is not quite the staple on Netflix's roster that it may need to be to earn a fourth season.

The one series premiere in this trio is the comedy mystery series Phony on Hulu. The series is entirely a Hulu original, not part of the FX on Hulu brand that many of the streaming service's recent premieres hold. It's been a long road for Phony, which was first developed in 2022 and now will have to compete with ABC's roster and originals Reasonable Doubt and The Kardashians if it wants to vie for a #1 debut.

Broadcast Premieres


At this point, most shows on the broadcast networks' fall schedules have already premiered. Two that have not are NBC's Friday night sitcoms Happy's Place and Newlyweds. The former is returning for its third season, the latter is about to make its series premiere, and both will stream on Peacock. 

Happy's Place was hardly ever a strong performer on Peacock's Top 10 chart, which makes an appearance rather unlikely for the premiere. Newlyweds will likely see more ample promotion on Peacock, which will help bring the show some viewership that wouldn't be there otherwise. While Newlyweds isn't predicted to chart high, it is still predicted to make an appearance for this first week.

First Week Peak: Predictions for VisionQuest, Tulsa King, Hollywood Arts, 9-1-1, and More

The Ratings Junkie Sunday, October 11, 2026

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. All Attention Scores come from Television Stats as of October 10, 2026. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Streaming Premieres


Disney+, Peacock, Paramount+, Prime Video, Netflix, and Hulu all have shows either premiering or returning this coming week. Of these, WandaVision spinoff VisionQuest has the highest Attention Score with a 13.5 score. Additionally, Peacock's upcoming drama Crystal Lake has already gone as high as an 18.8 score, and the Season 3 Part 1 trailer for adult animated comedy Helluva Boss (its first on Prime Video), has 1.5 million views on YouTube. As such, all three are predicted to see a #1 debut.

Also predicted to debut at #1 are the returns of Tulsa King on Paramount+, The Diplomat on Netflix, and The Lowdown on Hulu/FX (its first season being simulcast on Hulu). Given The Lowdown will face competition from the return of ABC's Thursday night dramas, it does have a fairly tough path to #1, whereas The Diplomat and Tulsa King are more proven successes.

Only one of the seven streaming originals premiering this coming week is predicted to fail to reach a #1 peak. That would be Victorious spinoff Hollywood Arts, which is still predicted to make a nostalgia-driven debut at #3. Its 1.2 Attention Score isn't exactly promising, but the strong performance and swift renewal of A Different World indicates this could do the same.

Broadcast Premieres


Three broadcast shows are returning to broadcast television this week: 9-1-1, 9-1-1: Nashville, and Grey's Anatomy. All experienced #1 peaks on Hulu at one point or another last season, though it took 9-1-1 until its season finale and 9-1-1: Nashville hasn't done it since its second episode. Grey's Anatomy, meanwhile, had a seven consecutive episode stretch at #1. Between the recent return of The Kardashians and upcoming return of The Lowdown, it will be tough for any show in its trio to peak at #1 within its first couple days. 9-1-1 and Grey's Anatomy are both predicted to return one spot down from their respective finales, while 9-1-1: Nashville is predicted to return one spot up.

First Week Peak: Can Avatar: Seven Havens Hold Off CBS Premiere Week?

The Ratings Junkie Sunday, October 04, 2026

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. All Attention Scores come from Television Stats as of October 3, 2026. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

First Week Peak: Tracker Not On Track For #1 Debut, East of Eden Shows Promising Signs for Netflix

The Ratings Junkie Saturday, September 26, 2026

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. All Attention Scores come from Television Stats as of September 26, 2026. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!