First Week Peak: Performance Predictions for Furious, Lioness, Batman, and More

 

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Furious (Season 1)
Premieres: July 27 on Hulu
Genre: Crime drama
Synopsis: From creator and executive producer Elizabeth Meriwether, "Furious" follows an FBI agent, Alice Black (Emmy Rossum) on the hunt for a mysterious and calculating female serial killer. Both walk their own paths toward justice, and as their lives start to intertwine, the line between right and wrong begins to blur.

Going For It

Furious has a respectable 4.8 Attention Score headed into its three-episode premiere, which is enough to be fourth-highest among all Hulu shows. It's also based on the 1987 movie Black Widow, which will likely spark initial curiosity.


Going Against It

Hulu original series in general have struggled on the chart lately. King of the Hill only managed one day at #1. The Bear, largely considered Hulu's flagship series, had initial success upon the fifth season premiere but is now sitting behind 20/20, General Hospital, and Project Runway.


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Hulu
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Renew

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare (Miniseries)
Premieres: July 29 on Netflix
Genre: Docuseries
Synopsis: Through bodycam footage, texts and interviews with loved ones, this documentary investigates the horrifying murder of four University of Idaho students.

Going For It

Docuseries have performed incredibly well on Netflix recently, including a multi-day stint at #1 for Worst Neighbor Ever. This particular tragic event has recently been adapted into docuseries by Sundance and Prime Video, with the latter actually renewing it for a second season.


Going Against It

Netflix's docuseries comes over a year after Prime Video's, so it's not exactly a fresh story. It will also face tough competition for the top spot from The Hawk, which has been dominant since its premiere, and Ransom Canyon, which has yet to show signs of a sophomore slump.


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Netflix
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Miniseries

Diarra from Detroit (Season 2)
Premieres: July 29 on Paramount+
Genre: Mystery comedy-drama
Synopsis: A divorcing, overworked teacher finds herself drawn into a cold case after a dating app matches her with a man she suspects is the adult version of a boy abducted in the 90s.

Going For It

BET+ is as established a brand for Paramount+ as it's ever been, as Paramount premieres new episodes of former BET+ shows to its service basically every month.


Going Against It

Diarra from Detroit is the latest series making the move from BET+ to Paramount+. Most previous BET+ shows to premiere (Divorced Sistas, Zatima, All the Queen's Men, and Ruthless) have made appearances on the chart to one degree or another, but only All the Queen's Men managed a #1 peak. It's also premiering the same week as Lioness, which demonstrates low confidence in its performance ceiling.


Daily Peak Prediction: #8 on Paramount+
Overall Success Prediction: Low
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Cancel

The Loud Family: Louder and Prouder (Season 4)
Premieres: July 29 on Disney+
Genre: Kids/family animation
Synopsis: A continuation of the acclaimed series, "The Proud Family: Louder and Prouder" follows the adventures and misadventures of newly 14-year-old Penny Proud and her Proud Family as they navigate modern life with hilarity and heart. The 2020s brings new career highs for mom Trudy, wilder dreams for dad Oscar and new challenges for Penny, including a socially woke neighbor who thinks she has a lot to teach her, bullying social media influencers who want to cancel her and her own teenage hormones. Penny's friends return, including Dijonay, LaCienega, Zoey and Michael. Penny's Suga Mama also returns, ready as ever to dispense tough love or a gentle hand whenever Penny needs it. Among the new faces are Maya and KG, new kids who not only have to deal with the struggles of being the new kid but also having new dads, a first for Smithville.

Going For It

With Disney+ housing far less active original series than it used to, The Loud House: Louder and Prouder won't have to face off against Baby Yoda to reach #1 on the streaming service's Top 10 list. It'll have to best Bluey, Dancing with the Stars: The Next Pro, X-Men: '97, and Pompeii: Out of Time with Tom Hiddleston instead.


Going Against It

Season 3 of The Loud Family: Louder and Prouder struggled mightily on Disney+'s Top 10 chart, spending two days in the lower half before dropping off entirely. Unlike the first two seasons, Disney never gave Season 3 a linear run on Disney Channel. 


Daily Peak Prediction: #9 on Disney+
Overall Success Prediction: Low
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Already Ending

Batman: Caped Crusader (Season 2)
Premieres: July 31 on Prime Video
Genre: Animation
Synopsis: Welcome to Gotham City, where criminals run rampant and low-abiding citizens live in a constant state of fear. Forged in the fire of tragedy, wealthy socialite Bruce Wayne becomes something both more and less than human--the BATMAN. His one-man crusade for justice attracts unexpected allies within the GCPD and City Hall, but his heroic actions spawn deadly, unforeseen ramifications.

Going For It

Batman: Caped Crusader holds a decent 3.3 Attention Score, 12th on Prime Video, despite having not aired in nearly two years. The first season managed a #1 debut on Prime Video back in August 2024, which demonstrates a high ceiling.


Going Against It

Batman: Caped Crusader risks fading into the background on a streaming service now dominated by Ride or Die, Elle, Off Campus, Every Year After, and Spider-Noir, which made up the top 5 series respectively every day this past week. Breaking into the top half of the chart would be an impressive feat for a returning cartoon that is not guaranteed to be prioritized. 


Daily Peak Prediction: #6 on Prime Video
Overall Success Prediction: Medium
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Cancel

Lioness (Season 3)
Premieres: August 2 on Paramount+
Genre: Action drama
Synopsis: In Lioness Season 3, hidden networks, foreign operatives, and personal betrayals collide. Joe (Zoe Saldaña) walks the line between duty and home as unseen forces circle her world. Guided by Kaitlyn (Nicole Kidman) and Westfield (Michael Kelly), Joe confronts enemies operating in the shadows, leaving her to reckon with a war that now reaches into every part of her life.

Going For It

Lioness has pulled in both strong and growing viewership for Paramount+. Season 2 reached 8.3 million US households by December 2025, compared to 7.6 million for Season 1, when the show was named Special Ops: Lioness. Its current 4.8 Attention Score is the 7th-highest for a Paramount+ show.


Going Against It

Taylor Sheridan's contract at Paramount expires on January 1, 2029, and Paramount+ surely will want to build a stronger brand beyond his name by then. Both of Lioness's renewals have come long after the pervious season has finished airing, and a hypothetical four-season run is lengthy for Paramount+'s standards (though not unheard of for a Taylor Sheridan or a Star Trek series.)


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Paramount+
Overall Success Prediction: High
Renew/Cancel Prediction: Renew for a final season



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