Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. It's week two of my summer predictions and a lot has happened this week. Last night Under the Dome aired its season three premiere and Rookie Blue aired its season six premiere. Also, NBC announced a renewal and a cancelation. The cancelation came first on Monday, when Hannibal was canceled three episodes into its third season, which I accurately predicted. Hannibal will continue to air the remainder of its season in its current timeslot. On Thursday, NBC renewed Aquarius for a second season. This was very surprising, considering how it performs only slightly better than Hannibal, and Hannibal has advantages by being in its third season and being an international co-production. I incorrectly predicted Aquarius's fate, labeling it certain to be canceled. The reason for the renewal was most likely how well it performed with online viewership (the entire season of Aquarius was put online from the beginning), something that us ordinary people do not know the numbers of, and something that I didn't expect to be a factor. But, that's enough talking for the moment, here are the summer shows divided into categories and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!
Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)
Certain to be Canceled
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) (1.1)
American Odyssey (NBC) (0.5)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.6)
Will Likely be Canceled
Toss-Up
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.6)
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.2)
Will Likely be Renewed
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (1.0)
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.3)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.1)
Certain to be Renewed
Fate Determined
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED
Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Extant (CBS)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)
Zoo (CBS)
I don't like to move a show all the way from "will likely be canceled" to "will likely be renewed" in one week. However, The Whispers is in an odd situation where it has forced me to do that. It would be a toss-up this week due to the slight uptick in the ratings when it originally looked to be a show that was collapsing. But, this week it came to my attention that The Whispers needs to be renewed by June 30th if it is going to be renewed. That is Tuesday. According to what I read, ABC has been trying to extend the actors' contracts past June 30th, but has so far been unsuccessful. This means that after one more episode, ABC will need to decide what it wants to do with The Whispers. Due to the slight uptick and the fact that it is produced by ABC Studios, I predict a renewal. The ratings of Monday's episode could be important though. If the show falls to 0.7 or lower next week, I will change my mind (though I won't get the chance to write another one of these until after the decision has been made). If the ratings stay at 0.8 or higher, I think it will get a second season. If later on in the season it does poorly, ABC can make season two shorter and/or give it a bad timeslot.
Summer 2013's ratings monster Under the Dome returned for its third season last night, premiering at a weak 1.3 rating. While this rating is far from impressive, Under the Dome should still be able to get a renewal. The reason for this is Amazon. Amazon pays to stream CBS's summer dramas just days after they air. Last year, new series Extant premiered to a 1.6, and got a 1.5 the following week, but in the eleven episodes after that got no higher than a 1.2. However, Extant was still renewed. If Amazon is paying as much for Under the Dome this year as they paid for Extant last year, then with a 1.3 rating Under the Dome should still be able to get renewed.
Last night also had a second season premiere, ABC's Rookie Blue. In its sixth season, Rookie Blue premiered to only a 0.6, a series low. Despite this very low rating, I am still considering it to be a toss-up. Rookie Blue is a Canadian show, and therefore a lot cheaper than an American one. However, my toss-up rating is still generous, but it's only week one, it can rebound. But if next week's rating isn't higher, I may have to adjust my prediction. But, do remember, Rookie Blue can still be renewed and air in Canada if ABC cancels it.
Next week, I will have my first predictions for CBS's Extant and Zoo. Also, next week I plan on adjusting my prediction for Wayward Pines.
Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!
Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)
Certain to be Canceled
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) (1.1)
American Odyssey (NBC) (0.5)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.6)
Will Likely be Canceled
Toss-Up
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.6)
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.2)
Will Likely be Renewed
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (1.0)
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.3)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.1)
Certain to be Renewed
Fate Determined
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED
Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Extant (CBS)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)
Zoo (CBS)
I don't like to move a show all the way from "will likely be canceled" to "will likely be renewed" in one week. However, The Whispers is in an odd situation where it has forced me to do that. It would be a toss-up this week due to the slight uptick in the ratings when it originally looked to be a show that was collapsing. But, this week it came to my attention that The Whispers needs to be renewed by June 30th if it is going to be renewed. That is Tuesday. According to what I read, ABC has been trying to extend the actors' contracts past June 30th, but has so far been unsuccessful. This means that after one more episode, ABC will need to decide what it wants to do with The Whispers. Due to the slight uptick and the fact that it is produced by ABC Studios, I predict a renewal. The ratings of Monday's episode could be important though. If the show falls to 0.7 or lower next week, I will change my mind (though I won't get the chance to write another one of these until after the decision has been made). If the ratings stay at 0.8 or higher, I think it will get a second season. If later on in the season it does poorly, ABC can make season two shorter and/or give it a bad timeslot.
Summer 2013's ratings monster Under the Dome returned for its third season last night, premiering at a weak 1.3 rating. While this rating is far from impressive, Under the Dome should still be able to get a renewal. The reason for this is Amazon. Amazon pays to stream CBS's summer dramas just days after they air. Last year, new series Extant premiered to a 1.6, and got a 1.5 the following week, but in the eleven episodes after that got no higher than a 1.2. However, Extant was still renewed. If Amazon is paying as much for Under the Dome this year as they paid for Extant last year, then with a 1.3 rating Under the Dome should still be able to get renewed.
Last night also had a second season premiere, ABC's Rookie Blue. In its sixth season, Rookie Blue premiered to only a 0.6, a series low. Despite this very low rating, I am still considering it to be a toss-up. Rookie Blue is a Canadian show, and therefore a lot cheaper than an American one. However, my toss-up rating is still generous, but it's only week one, it can rebound. But if next week's rating isn't higher, I may have to adjust my prediction. But, do remember, Rookie Blue can still be renewed and air in Canada if ABC cancels it.
Next week, I will have my first predictions for CBS's Extant and Zoo. Also, next week I plan on adjusting my prediction for Wayward Pines.
Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!