Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - July 24: Extant Will Likely be Canceled

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. This is week six, and this week Welcome to Sweden premiered its second season on NBC. Also, this week I have to make a correction; I found out last weekend that Wayward Pines was canceled, which had been quietly revealed last week on Thursday when the tenth and final episode of the season was promoted as the "series finale". I apologize for the error, this week it will be corrected, and Wayward Pines will be in the "fate decided" category. I predicted this cancelation correctly, as in my July 10th post I had put it in the "will likely be canceled" category. That's enough talking for now, here are the summer shows divided into categories, and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (0.8)
Dates (CW) (0.1)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.5)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.0)

Will Likely be Canceled
Extant (CBS) (0.7)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.7)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC) (0.3)

Toss-Up
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)

Will Likely be Renewed

Certain to be Renewed
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.1)
Zoo (CBS) (1.1)

Fate Determined
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) CANCELED
American Odyssey (NBC) CANCELED
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED
Wayward Pines (FOX) CANCELED 

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)

CBS was probably hoping that with the timeslot upgrade, Extant's ratings would improve. They did, but I doubt that 0.1 more was good enough. Extant was only able to notch a 0.7 airing after Big Brother, which got a 1.8. It's looking like even that deal with Amazon won't save Extant now. Extant will soon be extinct.

Welcome to Sweden premiered to miserable ratings. Last year, it easily got renewed with okay ratings, a renewal in Sweden, and the Poehler name. This year, the ratings are half what they were last year, and there has been no news yet about a renewal in Sweden, where the show was not as big in season two as it was in season one. It's not looking good for Welcome to Sweden.

While Extant is doing poorly, all hope is far from lost for scripted programming in CBS summers. Zoo was flat at 1.0 this week and Under the Dome went up to 1.0. Also, CBS obviously is satisfied, as they plan on continuing scripted programming during the summer with the addition of new political sci-fi dramedy BrainDead. This is a sign that at least one of Under the Dome and Zoo are for sure coming back, and probably both.

ABC summers' scripted programming is looking a lot worse than CBS'. While Thursday is a mess, The Whispers is also not looking good. This week it went back down to 0.8, and that was when I decided to move it to "certain to be canceled". What made The Whispers' fate even more certain though is when Lily Rabe, the series' star, got casted in American Horror Story. There is absolutely no chance now that The Whispers will be back for season two.

Speaking of ABC Thursdays, I have moved The Astronaut Wives Club to "certain to be canceled" after this week's 0.6 rating. Also, this Thursday Mistresses fell again to a 0.7, while Rookie Blue rose to a 0.8. While this makes me want to switch the two shows on here, for now they will stay put at "toss-up" and "will likely be canceled" respectively. Don't be surprised if either show moves in the near future though.

Right now almost every show has reached certainty. Only four shows, Extant, Rookie Blue, Welcome to Sweden, and Mistresses, have not. Next week, at least one of those shows will move somewhere. Come back next week to see what moves where!

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!

Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - July 17: Wayward Pines is Certain to be Canceled

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. This is week five, and while there was no renew/cancel news this week, nor were there any series or season premieres, this was still an interesting TV week. This week, NBC decided to move the already-renewed Aquarius and the already-canceled Hannibal to Saturdays, following terrible ratings from both (0.5 for the former, 0.4 for the latter) last Thursday. Also, CBS moved second-season drama Extant from 10:00 to 9:00 following Wednesday's low-rated episode, giving Extant a lead-in of Big Brother instead of Criminal Minds reruns. I will discuss what I think these moves mean below, in addition to other things. So, now, here are the summer shows divided into categories, and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
Dates (CW) (0.1)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.5)
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.1)

Will Likely be Canceled
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (0.9)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.7)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.0)

Toss-Up
Extant (CBS) (0.7)
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)

Will Likely be Renewed
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.1)
Zoo (CBS) (1.1)

Certain to be Renewed

Fate Determined
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) CANCELED
American Odyssey (NBC) CACNCELED
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)

After falling even farther this week to a 0.9, I believe that Wayward Pines is certain to be canceled. The chances that FOX will renew the show are slim, despite the great DVR numbers. Live viewing is what matters most, Wayward Pines' episode next week will most likely be its very last.

When they are airing other countries' shows, networks usually allow the ratings to fall farther than other shows because it is cheep for them to air a season of a show that has already been ordered. However, Motive was canceled by ABC last summer, despite getting a third season in Canada, and since Rookie Blue's ratings this season are much lower than Motive's last season, I predict that it is likely to be canceled. After premiering to a 0.6, the show has risen to a 0.7, but it has since remained there. I don't know whether or not another season of Rookie Blue will be made, but I doubt that it will be aired on ABC in the US.

Extant reached a new low this week, 0.6. CBS then decided to move Extant to the 9:00 hour. This indicates two things. The first is 0.6s are probably not renewable numbers for Under the Dome or Extant, and the second is that CBS really wants Extant to survive. If Extant is able to get mostly 0.8 and above at 9:00, I expect that it will be back. Otherwise, it could end up getting canceled.

NBC's decision to move its Thursday night scripted programs to Saturday night wasn't surprising in the case of Hannibal, which had recently gotten canceled and got a 0.4 rating in its last Thursday airing. However, it was more surprising for Aquarius, which was doing slightly better and had gotten renewed. Many people are wondering if this indicates that NBC may reverse their decision to renew Aquarius. It's unlikely, in my opinion, but with NBC, anything's possible. But, what it does indicate is that season two of Aquarius will probably air on Saturdays, if not entirely online.

I was considering moving both Under the Dome and Zoo to certain to be renewed at the beginning of the week. However, their ratings this week made me want to wait probably one more week. Both series fell two tenths this week. If they are more stable next week, I will likely upgrade them. I was also planning on moving The Whispers down this week. If next week The Whispers gets 0.8 or below, I'm moving it.

The Astronaut Wives Club went back up to a 0.9 this week. If that proves to not be a fluke, I will move it back up to toss-up next week. ABC Thursdays are proving to be the hardest shows to predict this summer.

Next week, I will have my first prediction for Welcome to Sweden. I had hoped that this week the "certain to be renewed" section wouldn't be empty, but it still is. However, next week it is very likely that either Under the Dome, Zoo, or both could end up there. You'll have to come back next week to see!

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!

Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - July 3: Zoo Will Likely be Renewed

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. This is week three, and this week gave me two more tallies in the "win" column. I correctly predicted the cancelations of NBC's American Odyssey and A.D.: The Bible Continues. These cancelations were far from surprising, as American Odyssey suffered low ratings its entire 13-episode run, and A.D. fell hard in the ratings after its first couple of episodes. Odyssey aired its now series finale last Sunday, and A.D. aired its the previous Sunday. Also this week, CBS's Zoo aired its series premiere and Extant of the same network began its second season. These premieres aired on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. Now for my predictions! Here are the summer shows divided into categories, and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

(Note: This week, the averages for The Astronaut Wives Club, Mistresses, Rookie Blue, Under the Dome, and Wayward Pines could be slightly incorrect due to Thursday final ratings being delayed until Monday. If any of these shows' average ratings are affected by adjustments, I will let you know. However, I would doubt that it would be significant enough to affect my predictions.)

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.5)

Will Likely be Canceled
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.1)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.0)

Toss-Up
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (0.9)
Extant (CBS) (0.8)
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.6)

Will Likely be Renewed
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.2)
Zoo (CBS) (1.2)

Certain to be Renewed

Fate Determined
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) CANCELED
American Odyssey (NBC) CANCELED
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)

Zoo's premiere rating was not the best. It premiered to an underwhelming 1.2 rating. However, last year Extant fell as low as 0.8 and got renewed, due to CBS's deal with Amazon. CBS doesn't have a deal with Amazon regarding Zoo. But, they have a slightly better deal with Netflix. So, at this point, it's looking like money from Netflix will cause CBS to renew Zoo. But, Extant premiered to a 1.6 last year. Zoo could fall like Extant did. Will it still get renewed? We will just have to see how far it falls.

Speaking of Extant, it premiered this week to a series low, 0.7. That is a disastrous rating that begs the question, will money from Amazon still save it? The problem is, we have no idea the answer to that question. We will need to watch in future weeks and see how low Extant goes. But how low can Extant go and still get renewed? Your guess is as good as mine.

Last week, I predicted that The Whispers would get renewed on June 30th, as that was the day where the cast's contracts expired. However, ABC made no decision on The Whispers, neither renewing nor canceling it. But, by not renewing it, ABC let the cast's contracts expire, which will make it much harder to renew the series. This shows a major lack of confidence from ABC, which is why I have moved it down to "will likely be canceled". However, they didn't cancel it either, showing that they are not completely done with The Whispers at this point.

Last week I also told you that I would adjust my prediction for Wayward Pines. I was expecting to move it upward, to "will likely be renewed", but this week's rating told me it needed to go in the other direction. FOX press releases about the show make it sound like they don't plan on renewing it. However, I still had hope that it just needed to stay stable, maybe have some slight growth, and it would get renewed. And I expected it to have at least a 1.2 rating last night. But, it only notched a 1.0, tying its low (its premiere), and making me think that this show will be one-and-done. Luckily for fans, the show is supposed to have a satisfying ending.

This week I have three ABC dramas at a "toss-up", all three of their Thursday night dramas. Next week, I will move at least one of them, maybe more. Also, next week British series Dates premieres on the CW. So, come back next week to see!

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!

Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - June 26: The Whispers Will Likely be Renewed

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. It's week two of my summer predictions and a lot has happened this week. Last night Under the Dome aired its season three premiere and Rookie Blue aired its season six premiere. Also, NBC announced a renewal and a cancelation. The cancelation came first on Monday, when Hannibal was canceled three episodes into its third season, which I accurately predicted. Hannibal will continue to air the remainder of its season in its current timeslot. On Thursday, NBC renewed Aquarius for a second season. This was very surprising, considering how it performs only slightly better than Hannibal, and Hannibal has advantages by being in its third season and being an international co-production. I incorrectly predicted Aquarius's fate, labeling it certain to be canceled. The reason for the renewal was most likely how well it performed with online viewership (the entire season of Aquarius was put online from the beginning), something that us ordinary people do not know the numbers of, and something that I didn't expect to be a factor. But, that's enough talking for the moment, here are the summer shows divided into categories and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) (1.1)
American Odyssey (NBC) (0.5)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.6)

Will Likely be Canceled

Toss-Up
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.6)
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.2)

Will Likely be Renewed
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (1.0)
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.3)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.1)

Certain to be Renewed

Fate Determined
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Extant (CBS)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)
Zoo (CBS)

I don't like to move a show all the way from "will likely be canceled" to "will likely be renewed" in one week. However, The Whispers is in an odd situation where it has forced me to do that. It would be a toss-up this week due to the slight uptick in the ratings when it originally looked to be a show that was collapsing. But, this week it came to my attention that The Whispers needs to be renewed by June 30th if it is going to be renewed. That is Tuesday. According to what I read, ABC has been trying to extend the actors' contracts past June 30th, but has so far been unsuccessful. This means that after one more episode, ABC will need to decide what it wants to do with The Whispers. Due to the slight uptick and the fact that it is produced by ABC Studios, I predict a renewal. The ratings of Monday's episode could be important though. If the show falls to 0.7 or lower next week, I will change my mind (though I won't get the chance to write another one of these until after the decision has been made). If the ratings stay at 0.8 or higher, I think it will get a second season. If later on in the season it does poorly, ABC can make season two shorter and/or give it a bad timeslot.

Summer 2013's ratings monster Under the Dome returned for its third season last night, premiering at a weak 1.3 rating. While this rating is far from impressive, Under the Dome should still be able to get a renewal. The reason for this is Amazon. Amazon pays to stream CBS's summer dramas just days after they air. Last year, new series Extant premiered to a 1.6, and got a 1.5 the following week, but in the eleven episodes after that got no higher than a 1.2. However, Extant was still renewed. If Amazon is paying as much for Under the Dome this year as they paid for Extant last year, then with a 1.3 rating Under the Dome should still be able to get renewed.

Last night also had a second season premiere, ABC's Rookie Blue. In its sixth season, Rookie Blue premiered to only a 0.6, a series low. Despite this very low rating, I am still considering it to be a toss-up. Rookie Blue is a Canadian show, and therefore a lot cheaper than an American one. However, my toss-up rating is still generous, but it's only week one, it can rebound. But if next week's rating isn't higher, I may have to adjust my prediction. But, do remember, Rookie Blue can still be renewed and air in Canada if ABC cancels it.

Next week, I will have my first predictions for CBS's Extant and Zoo. Also, next week I plan on adjusting my prediction for Wayward Pines.

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!