Predict the Ratings for You, Me, and the Apocalypse

Tonight at 8, NBC will premiere new dramedy You, Me, and the Apocalypse, which has already aired its 10 episodes in the UK. There, it premiered to 1.28 million viewers and finished with just .6 million--could the US A18-49 demo ratings fall in line with the UK viewership, or does this show have a brighter future?

NBC Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Crowded' Certain to be Canceled

Week 28

KEY

• Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)

[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower ratings
[O] - Indicates an NBC-owned show, which will typically have a higher chance at renewal

CANCELED

• Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0) [O]
• The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
• Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F][O]
• You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.7 / 0.6)

CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED

• Crowded (1.3 / 0.8) [O]
• Heartbeat (1.1 / 0.9)
• Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9) [O]
• Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]

LIKELY TO BE CANCELED

• The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.2)

ON THE BUBBLE

• None

LIKELY TO BE RENEWED

• The Carmichael Show (1.2 / 1.0)
• Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F][O]

CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED

• None

RENEWED

• The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
• Blindspot (2.1 / 1.6)
• Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.7) [O]
• Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.8) [O]
• Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.5) [O]
• Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.4) [O]
• Shades of Blue (1.2 / 1.1) [O]
• Superstore (1.5 / 1.4) [O]

ANALYSIS

Crowded finally went fractional this week. With that being said, I have decided to move it down to "certain to be canceled," for it will most likely only go even more downhill from here. The reason Crowded skipped the "likely cancellation" phase is because, in a recently released interview with Campaign U.S. (link here), an NBC network president revealed that they will be ordering and trying out a wide variety of comedies next season. Therefore, there just won't be any room for Crowded (no pun intended) and its fractional ratings.

I have also quietly moved Telenovela and Undateable down to "certain to be canceled" because of the new information revealed in the Campaign U.S. interview.

Coming up next week: Undateable vs. Telenovela. If only one could get a renewal, which would it be? Find out my thoughts and more next Sunday!

POLL OF THE WEEK

NBC Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Heartbeat' Certain to be Canceled

Week 27

KEY

• Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)

[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower ratings
[O] - Indicates an NBC-owned show, which will typically have a higher chance at renewal

CANCELED

• Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0) [O]
• The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
• Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F][O]
• You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.7 / 0.6)

CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED

• Heartbeat (1.2 / 0.9)

LIKELY TO BE CANCELED

• The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.2)
• Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9) [O]
• Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]

ON THE BUBBLE

• Crowded (1.4 / 1.0) [O]

LIKELY TO BE RENEWED

• The Carmichael Show (1.2 / 1.3)
• Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F][O]

CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED

• None

RENEWED

• The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
• Blindspot (2.1 / 1.5)
• Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.6) [O]
• Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.5) [O]
• Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.4) [O]
• Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.5) [O]
• Shades of Blue (1.2 / 1.0) [O]
• Superstore (1.5 / 1.4) [O]

ANALYSIS

Heartbeat premiered to a modest 1.4 rating following The Voice on Tuesday, but dropped to a not-so-modest 0.9 on Wednesday. Because Heartbeat already went fractional in its second episode, I have decided to skip the "bubble" stage and immediately label it as "certain to be canceled." Does NBC now wish it gave The Mysteries of Laura a full-season order? Probably. Does The Mysteries of Laura now have a shot at renewal? Not so fast...but maybe. It isn't "certain to be canceled," just "likely"...

Also, you may have noticed that I moved The Carmichael Show up to "likely to be renewed." After two weeks of performing decently behind Little Big Shots, I thought this move was only fair. Even though it's not saying much, TCS is NBC's #2 comedy. With that AND critical acclaim, I think it's safe to say that TCS definitely has more than a 50% shot at renewal.

POLL OF THE WEEK

NBC Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Crowded' Starts On the Bubble

Welcome to week 26 of the NBC Renew/Cancel Watch!

KEY

• Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)

[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower ratings
[O] - Indicates an NBC-owned show, which will typically have a higher chance at renewal

CANCELED

• Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0) [O]
• The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
• Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F][O]
• You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.7 / 0.6)

CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED

• None

LIKELY TO BE CANCELED

• The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.2)
• Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9) [O]
• Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]

ON THE BUBBLE

• The Carmichael Show (1.2 / 1.1)
• Crowded (1.6 / 1.4) [O]

LIKELY TO BE RENEWED

• Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F][O]

CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED

• None

RENEWED

• The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
• Blindspot (2.2 / 1.6)
• Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.6) [O]
• Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.5) [O]
• Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.5) [O]
• Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.6) [O]
• Shades of Blue (1.2 / 1.0) [O]
• Superstore (1.5 / 1.4) [O]

ANALYSIS

Crowded garnered a 1.7 and 1.4 for its two "special preview" episodes behind The Voice this past Tuesday. These aren't TERRIBLE ratings, but they are definitely no indication of how the show will perform in its regular timeslot. It is airing Sunday nights at 9:30/8:30c behind the relatively-weak The Carmichael Show, so that alone makes me think Crowded doesn't even have a chance to begin with. Expect to see Crowded in cancellation territory in the upcoming weeks. However, the show could turn out to be another pleasant, freshman surprise for NBC (see Little Big Shots) and defy the odds by squeezing out a renewal --but this is very VERY unlikely. Tell me what you think in the poll and comments below!

Up next week: Heartbeat

POLL OF THE WEEK

NBC Renew/Cancel Watch: 'The Carmichael Show' Starts On the Bubble

Hello everyone, welcome to another edition of the NBC Renew/Cancel Watch. View my predictions below and vote in the poll at the end of the page!

KEY

• Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)

[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower ratings
[O] - Indicates an NBC-owned show, which will typically have a higher chance at renewal

CANCELED

• Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0) [O]
• The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
• Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F][O]
• You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.7 / 0.5)

CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED

• None

LIKELY TO BE CANCELED

• The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.2)
• Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9) [O]
• Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]

ON THE BUBBLE

• The Carmichael Show (1.0 / 1.0)

LIKELY TO BE RENEWED

• Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F][O]

CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED

• None

RENEWED

• The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
• Blindspot (2.2 / 1.7)
• Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.6) [O]
• Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.5) [O]
• Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.5) [O]
• Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.6) [O]
• Shades of Blue (1.2 / 1.0) [O]
• Superstore (1.5 / 1.4) [O]

ANALYSIS

The Carmichael Show - The season 2 premiere of The Carmichael Show notched a 1.0 rating on Wednesday, following the 2.0 rating of a clipshow of The Voice. This rating isn't too spectacular, but it's still not TERRIBLE for an NBC comedy. If TCS can remain steady, it could still squeeze out a renewal. I'll wait to see its Sunday-night ratings before I make a real judgement, though.

Grimm - Grimm garnered a 0.9 rating for its 100th episode this Friday (adjustments pending), down from the 1.0 rating for the previous episode. Last week, I did a special edition of the NBC Renew/Cancel Watch explaining why I think Grimm will get renewed (over The Mysteries of Laura just to make it more interesting). At the end, I asked the readers to vote in a poll on whether they thought Grimm or Laura would get renewed and it has been virtually dead-even up until this point. If you haven't seen it already, click here to view my reasons of why I think Grimm will be renewed and vote in the poll at the end of the page.

You, Me and the Apocalypse - Earlier this week, You, Me and the Apocalypse was officially canceled by its UK-broadcaster, Sky. This leaves absolutely no reason for NBC to want to continue the series, so it is now labeled as "canceled" as opposed to "certain to be canceled."

QUESTION OF THE WEEK