Tomorrow will mark the start of a very interesting week of renewals and cancellations, so here are my final predictions for the fates of the remaining NBC shows. This post will be updated as the renewals and cancellations come in. *UPDATED 5/13 - CANCELLATIONS & NEW SHOWS ADDED *UPDATED 5/15 - RENEWALS & NEW SHOWS ADDED KEY
Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)
[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower ratings [O] - Indicates an NBC-owned show, which will typically have a higher chance at renewal
CANCELED
Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0) [O]
The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F][O]
You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.7 / 0.6)
CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED
Crowded (1.1 / 0.8) [O]
Heartbeat (1.1 / 0.9)
Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9) [O]
Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]
LIKELY TO BE CANCELED
The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.2)
ON THE BUBBLE
None
LIKELY TO BE RENEWED
The Carmichael Show (1.1 / 1.0)
CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED
None
RENEWED
The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.2)
Blindspot (2.0 / 1.3)
Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.5) [O]
Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.5) [O]
Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.5) [O]
Grimm (0.9 / 1.0) [F][O]
Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.4) [O]
Shades of Blue (1.2 / 1.1) [O]
Superstore (1.5 / 1.4) [O]
CROWDED VS. TELENOVELA VS. UNDATEABLE
With Superstore renewed and The Carmichael Show likely to be renewed, how much room does NBC have for another veteran comedy next season? It is clear that the network wants to expand its comedy department since they ordered a wide variety of new pilots for the upcoming season, but do they want to use more than two veteran comedies to help them do so? Crowded, Telenovela, and Undateable are the other three comedies that haven't yet been renewed or canceled, so could one or more of them be renewed? For the purpose of this article, let's pretend that only one of them can get the renewal. The question is, however, which one would it be? Take a look at my reasons for renewal for each show down below:
Crowded
Owned by NBC
Highest 18-49 average out of the three shows (although it has aired less episodes and not by very much)
Doing OK for its timeslot, Sundays at 9:30, which is arguably the toughest slot out of the three comedies and has the highest competition (The Walking Dead)
Directed by James Burrows, could be renewed just because of his name
Telenovela
Owned by NBC
Stars Eva Longoria, the network might want to keep on good terms with the high-profile star
Up for Emmy considerations
Has a cast of all Latinos (diversity and minorities are key on TV nowadays)
Undateable
The true "veteran" of the three shows (three seasons under its belt as opposed to one for the other two); closest to syndication
Aired on Friday nights; lower expectations
Very cheap production costs
Arguably the most consistent and reliable performer
Hello everyone, welcome to the NBC Renew/Cancel Watch. Find out if your favorite NBC show is safe from cancellation down below! KEY
Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)
[F] - Indicates a Friday night show, which will typically have lower-than-average ratings
CANCELED
Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0)
The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F]
CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED
You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.8 / 0.6)
LIKELY TO BE CANCELED
The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.0)
Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9)
Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]
ON THE BUBBLE
NONE
LIKELY TO BE RENEWED
Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F]
CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED
NONE
RENEWED
The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
Blindspot (2.3 / 1.9)
Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.6)
Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.5)
Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.6)
Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.5)
Shades of Blue (1.3 / 1.0)
Superstore (1.5 / 1.4)
ANALYSIS
Superstore: Superstore earned a renewal for season two the day after its season one finale. This marks another correct prediction for The TV Ratings Guide!
Telenovela: When Superstore got renewed without Telenovela last week, it was pretty much a death sentence to this Eva Longoria-led sitcom. If Telenovela was ever going to be renewed, its renewal announcement most likely would have been paired with Superstore's renewal announcement. However, two reasons Telenovela isn't labeled as a "certain to be canceled" are because NBC does indeed own this sitcom and they also might want to keep on good terms with Eva Longoria, whom is high-profiled and has developed a variety of shows for the network. Still, in the end, I would not bet on a return for this freshman sitcom.
The Mysteries of Laura: In last week's NBC Renew/Cancel Watch (link here), I included a poll at the very end that asked "Do you think 'Laura' will be renewed or canceled?" To no one's surprise, the results were almost evenly divided. 55.56% of the responders voted "renewed," while the other 44.44% voted "canceled." However, I am still going with the minority for this prediction. I do believe that Laura will end up getting canceled because of the very large amount of shows NBC has already renewed, the fact that NBC doesn't own the show, and because of its shortened, 16-episode order for this season. The only reason NBC renewed Laura back in May last year was because they needed a freshman show to renew in order to save face. This season, NBC has had plenty of new, freshman hits (Blindspot, Chicago Med, Superstore, Shades of Blue...kinda), so The Mysteries of Laura is really no longer needed.
Welcome to the NBC Renew/Cancel Watch! Find out below if your favorite NBC show is safe from cancellation! This is a rare edition of of the NBC R/C Watch because there are no shows "on the bubble" this week! KEY
Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)
[F] - Indicates a Friday night show, which will typically have lower-than-average ratings
CANCELED
Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0)
The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F]
CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED
You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.9 / 0.6)
LIKELY TO BE CANCELED
The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.0)
Telenovela (1.0 / 0.7)
Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]
ON THE BUBBLE
NONE
LIKELY TO BE RENEWED
Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F]
CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED
Superstore (1.5 / 1.2) (RENEWED 2/23)
RENEWED
The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
Blindspot (2.3 / 1.9)
Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.6)
Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.4)
Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.6)
Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.7)
Shades of Blue (1.3 / 1.1)
Superstore (1.5 / 1.2)
ANALYSIS
Superstore: Although the freshman comedy garnered a dismal 1.2 rating for its most recent episode, Superstore is still certain to be renewed. Keep in mind that this episode was up against the massive Grammy Awards. Superstore is still one of NBC's most successful comedy launches in YEARS (sad, I know), so be ready to see Superstore on NBC's 2016-2017 schedule. UPDATE Superstore has been renewed.
Telenovela: With a 0.7 rating for its penultimate episode, Telenovela is extremely close to being labeled as "certain to be canceled." However, I decided to cut this show some slack considering it was up against the Grammy Awards. Next week's season finale rating will be the number to determine if it's either "likely" or "certain" to be canceled. It doesn't really make a difference, though, because you probably won't be seeing Telenovela next season.
The Mysteries of Laura: The Mysteries of Laura notched a 1.0 rating for its most recent episode on Wednesday. Laura could be considered a bubble show, but since I don't like to keep shows on the bubble I put it as "likely to be canceled" for two main reasons. First, TMoL only got a partial order from NBC. A 16 episode order would mean that Laura essentially needs 5 seasons for syndication instead of 4, and I don't think NBC wants to drag Laura on for that long. Second, TMoL isn't an NBCUniversal production, so they really have no reason to keep this show. Like...at all. So I personally believe that Laura will be done for at the end of this season, BUT I wouldn't be surprised if it gets a third season. Tell me what you think in the poll at the end of this article! You, Me and the Apocalypse: YMATA got a 0.6 rating this Thursday. NBC...pull this show NOW. I don't care if you need to bring back Dateline: The Real Blacklist, just get YMATA out of there! It is bringing down the entire night and definitely won't be seen next season.
Grimm: When Grimm managed a 0.9 rating on Friday and became NBC's highest-rated show of the night (although just by 0.1), I decided to move Grimm back up to "likely to be renewed." I am still a believer in a final, shortened season for Grimm and as I have previously mentioned, I don't like to keep shows on the bubble. NBC knows they could do a lot worse on the night AND it is an in-house production. Also, the network has a history of rewarding long-running, in-house productions with less-than-stellar ratings final seasons, so yes, I think Grimm will be another case of this.
Hello everyone, it's Luke Lambright. Happy Valentine's Day! Take a look at my renewal and cancellation predictions for all scripted NBC shows down below and vote in the special Valentine's Day MEGA poll at the end of the article!
KEY
Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)
[F] - Indicates a Friday night show, which will typically have lower-than-average ratings
