Showing posts with label 2016-17 ratings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016-17 ratings. Show all posts

TV Ratings 1/1/17: The Mick Premieres Strong, Ransom Does Not


Update: In time-zone adjusted ratings, The Mick scored a 2.8 in the 18-49 demo and 8.6 million viewers. Final ratings below. 

Time
Show
18-49 Rating
Total Viewers (In Millions)
7:00pm
NFL Football (FOX)
5.1
17.77

Football Night in America (NBC)
3.0
9.42

NFL Overrun (CBS)
2.1
10.22

America’s Funniest Home Videos (ABC)
1.0
5.83




7:30pm
The OT (FOX)
3.511.25

60 Minutes (CBS)
1.711.72




8:00pm
The Mick (P) (FOX)
 2.8
8.58

The Bachelor: Countdown to Nick (ABC)
 0.8
3.12

8:30pm
Sunday Night Football: Packers Vs Lions (NBC)
7.4
23.82

Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)
1.4
3.81

Ransom (P) (CBS)
0.8
6.65




9:00pm
Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)
1.2
3.08

To Tell The Truth (P) (ABC)
0.7
3.73




9:30pm
Pure Genius (CBS)
0.7
5.46

Family Guy (R) (FOX) 0.71.87




10:00pm
Conviction (ABC)
 0.4
2.06




10:30pm
NCIS Los Angeles (R)
0.7
4.47


Key:
(P) - Premiere
(R) - Repeat


On a night of two premieres, FOX had the upper-hand with the series premiere of The Mick (2.4). It managed to retain a good bit of its OT (3.5) lead-in and tied September's Son of Zorn premiere with a much smaller lead-in. It isn't clear if it will do well on Tuesdays with a meager New Girl lead-in, but for now, this is a promising data point. The Mick led into the 1-hour winter finale of Brooklyn Nine-Nine (1.4/1.2). While it didn't have amazing retention from The Mick, it's a season high for Nine-Nine as it leaves the grid until spring. FOX installed a Family Guy repeat (0.9) to cap off the night.

CBS had the unluckier of two newbies as Ransom (0.9) bombed out the gate losing a ton of its 60 Minutes (1.7) lead-in, the latter of which had a nice lead-in from NFL Football (2.1). There weren't very high expectations for Ransom as it moves to Saturdays and had the weaker football game, but starting in the zeros means it's going to have a rough time making a case for renewal. CBS ended the night with a burn-off of Pure Genius (0.8) which didn't perform too differently then what it would do on Thursdays, and a repeat of NCIS: Los Angeles (0.6).

If ABC expected their Sundays to improve without the dramas weighing them down they were very much mistaken as To Tell The Truth (0.7) premiered to a flat-out new low, going well below the 1.0-1.1 levels it was hitting in the summer. Truth didn't have much lead-in help with an underwhelming Bachelor special (0.8) leading into it, but after all that promotion this result is extremely disappointing. Conviction (0.4) bombed even harder, though that is to be expected since it has never done well in the first place. There was some better news at 7 as America's Funniest Home Videos (1.0) did well and in line with its usual results.

NBC was the obvious winner of the night with Football Night in America (2.3) leading into a pregame (4.9) and SNF (6.7). 















Predicting the 2016-17 Ratings: CW Fall Veterans

The Ratings Junkie Saturday, June 11, 2016
Predicting the 2016-17 Ratings: CW Fall Veterans
Since The CW doesn't have a whole lot of shows, I'm breaking this into two segments instead of three: one for veteran fall shows and one for new shows/midseason shows.

Supergirl
Supergirl just came from CBS, and while it was one of their most male-skewing shows did not enjoy the younger skew that the network was looking for. Now that it's been transferred over to The CW, there's bound to be a large drop in ratings, even though it's in the same time slot. Considering it had a very front-loaded 1.68 A18-49 average this season, expect a large decline on its move to The CW. It'll still be a tremendous improvement over Crazy Ex-Girlfriend though.

Prediction: -57% to a 0.72

Jane the Virgin
Jane the Virgin is bound to get a larger lead-in this season, though will it really matter going into its
third season? They look compatible enough, but not really a match made in heaven. It was down 24% this season, and although I don't expect that big a decline this time around, it probably won't magically see a ratings rise either.

Prediction: -11% to a 0.33

The Flash
The Flash is pretty much The CW's only show that would survive on a major network with its ratings. Just like the vampire show craze, I think when viewer fatigue comes with superhero shows, The Crossovers with Berlanti's 23 other shows on The CW should stop it from falling too much.
Flash will take a major hit. I don't think that fatigue has come quite yet, but it may come soon.

Prediction: -7% to a 1.27

Arrow
Arrow has been more or less stable its entire run, with the episodes this spring being around the 0.7-0.9 range. Like with The Flash, I think crossovers will help the show do well yet again next season; or at least for The CW's standards.

Prediction: -8% to a 0.86

Legends of Tomorrow
Legends of Tomorrow has done good, but not great, in its Thursday at 8 time slot. It will be in the same time slot next season and against Thursday Night Football. Most of its run was in the 0.6-0.7 range, and I expect to see more of that next season. It'll be a solid player for The CW, though not as well as Arrow or The Flash.

Prediction: -22% to a 0.62

Supernatural
Supernatural has been thrown all around the schedule; it's basically The CW's equivalent of Bones. It was down 11% this season, which isn't terrible considering that was around the league average decline. I don't think it'll be far-fetched to see it slightly out-rate its lead-in, though not by much. It'll improve the Thursday at 9 time slot, though the Wednesday at 9 time slot it left may be weaker.

Prediction: -7% to a 0.66

The Vampire Diaries
This is likely the final season of The Vampire Diaries, but I don't think that will lead to many old fans coming back to its show. It's way past its prime, as is the entire vampire genre, and this will be its first full season on Friday. It was down 36% this season as it is, and it won't have its spin-off as a lead-out in the fall. I'm pessimistic on this one.

Prediction: -39% to a 0.28

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend had all 0.2s and 0.3s this season except for one 0.4. Now that it's moving to Friday with the incompatible Vampire Diaries, I can't really expect this show to grow in its second season, critical darling or not. Most shows on the Big 4 fall a hefty amount on a move to Friday; if Crazy Ex-Girlfriend did that, its ratings would be negative. As in, below a 0.0. Though that's not
possible. It can't really go down all that much, so I think its tiny live audience will more or less follow it. If it gets an Emmy nomination or even award, I fully expect it to be dragged out to 70 episodes.

Prediction: -28% to a 0.21; though, that's only down 0.08 tenths, so the -28% looks deceiving

What do you think of my predictions? Let me know in the comments below and be sure to leave your own!