NBC Renew/Cancel #9 [2017-18]: A Change in Heart on ’AP Bio’


Prediction for 3/16/18


One show is upgraded. 


Key
Show Title [Average Adults 18-49 rating/Most recent rating]


AP Bio [0.88/0.9] - I have decided to move comedy AP Bio from likely cancellation to likely renewal. Initially, AP Bio looked like a textbook commercial failure. The episode that aired after the Olympics underwhelmed and it only managed a 0.7 rating in the 18-49 demographic for the following three installments. But, the series miraculously shot up to a 0.9 rating for its latest outing. It held 90% of its Superstore lead-in and easily beat Champions. In all, this is a very respectable data point. It even outdid its series premiere rating. Additionally, NBC has a history of giving lower-rated comedies a second chance. Just last year, the peacock network renewed Great News and Trial & Error for second seasons. Keep in mind, both shows went as low as a 0.6 despite each having a strong lead-in from The Voice. If NBC was willing to renew two comedies that did worse in much better situations, then AP Bio should be a shoe-in for another season. Moreover, for the past couple years, NBC has always renewed at least one freshman comedy. Since Champions is performing poorly, AP Bio will likely be the one to make it out alive. 

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Will 'AP Bio' be renewed?

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No
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