Certain to be Canceled
Conviction* (0.8, 0.6-0.9)
Notorious** (0.9, 0.8-1.1)
Likely to be Canceled
Dr. Ken (0.9, 0.8-0.9)
The Real O'Neals (1.0, 0.8-1.0)
Secrets & Lies (0.8, 0.6-1.0)
Quantico (0.8, 0.6-1.0)
Toss-Up
Agents of SHIELD (0.9, 0.7-1.1)
Likely to be Renewed
Fresh Off the Boat (1.3, 1.1-1.6)
Last Man Standing (1.1, 1.1-1.2)
Modern Family (2.3, 2.2-2.6)
Once Upon a Time (1.1, 0.9-1.3)
Certain to be Renewed
American Housewife (1.6, 1.5-1.9)
Black-ish (1.7, 1.5-2.0)
Designated Survivor (1.5, 1.2-2.2)
The Goldbergs (1.9, 1.8-2.0)
Grey's Anatomy (2.2, 1.9-2.5)
How to Get Away with Murder (1.2, 1.1-1.4)
The Middle (1.6, 1.4-1.8)
Speechless (1.8, 1.7-2.0)
*Trimmed to 10 episodes October 25, predicted certain to be canceled since September 23
**Announced it wouldn't receive additional episodes November 8, predicted certain to be canceled since October 7
The Middle: Though it faced a bigger year-to-year drop this season, The Middle still is staying strong, anchoring Tuesday nights, outperforming Fresh Off the Boat and The Real O'Neals, and only rating slightly lower than Black-ish, which gets Modern Family as a lead-in. Also, having a small main cast (five people) probably helps keep the costs down. The Middle is still certain to be renewed.
American Housewife: For the first time, American Housewife rated lower than The Middle on Tuesday. However, its 1.5, which tied its series low, isn't bad, and the lower number was likely the result of airing as part of a one-hour comedy block instead of two-hour as usual. So, have no fear, American Housewife will still return.
What do you think of my predictions? Leave your thoughts in the comments!