ABC Renew/Cancel Week 11: Promised Land Has No Promise


The ABC Renew/Cancel took last week off, but we're back this week with a new entry: Promised Land. Keep reading to see where it lands after its first airing!

Certain Cancellation:
Promised Land (0.22)

Likely Cancellation:
Queens (0.29, 0.24-0.36) 

Leans Cancellation:
Home Economics (0.34, 0.29-0.41)
A Million Little Things (0.28, 0.23-0.31)

Leans Renewal:
Big Sky (0.33, 0.30-0.37)
The Goldbergs (0.59, 0.49-0.70)
The Rookie (0.33, 0.28-0.36)
The Wonder Years (0.46, 0.34-0.67)

Likely Renewal:
Abbott Elementary (0.61, 0.58-0.64)
The Conners (0.53, 0.46-0.65)
The Good Doctor (0.42, 0.38-0.49)

Certain Renewal:

Already Renewed:
Grey's Anatomy
Station 19

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Women of the Movement (miniseries)

Promised Land: ABC debuted a new drama last week, putting The Good Doctor on hiatus to give it a post-Bachelor slot. Unfortunately, that new drama became the lowest-rated broadcast premiere in history, with just a 0.22 in the key 18-49 demo. While The Bachelor has long been noted as an absolutely toxic lead-in with no guarantee of helping the 10 PM show (longtime ratings followers will remember Quantico's 0.6s behind 2.5s from The Bachelor), this is a pathetic performance under any circumstance. Queens is a flop, too, but it's never done this poorly, let alone on premiere night. Not only does Promised Land not deserve a renewal, it doesn't even deserve to continue occupying space on the lineup, not when The Good Doctor is waiting in the wings. It's a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

Queens: Speaking of Queens, the music drama is on a brief hiatus right now, but it still experienced the most positive news in all of its run. With Promised Land bombing, Queens immediately has one less hurdle for a renewal. It's clear that, if ABC insists on renewing a freshman drama, it will be Queens. I still wouldn't bet on that, though. Queens is doing terribly in its first-run airings, and seems to have less going for it than other 10 PM flops like Big Sky, A Million Little Things and The Rookie, and ABC didn't give it any sort of episode extension despite not even having any scripted shows to replace it with. That isn't a sure sign of cancellation, but it seems to say that it's not a priority for ABC. It remains a LIKELY CANCELLATION, but its odds aren't as long as they were in a world in which Promised Land was still in contention.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote 

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