Tuesday TV Ratings 7/14/20: The Last Defense Special Low, America’s Got Talent Down (UPDATED)

Preliminary Analysis: Week two of ABC's 'What Would You Do?' (0.4) got a sizable lead-in upgrade, going from leading out of a 'Black-ish' repeat (0.2) to leading out of a decently-rated '20/20' special (0.4). Despite that, the John Quiñones program held even with last week's season debut. But ABC's lineup was completely trampled by the return of NBC's 'America's Got Talent' (1.1) and 'World of Dance' (0.7). While they remained comfortably ahead of the rest of the networks, both programs were down a tenth to new season lows. Elsewhere, CBS had a drama repeat lineup (0.5/0.5/0.4) that demolished Fox's 'Hell's Kitchen' (0.3) and 'Prodigal Son' (0.2) encores. The CW's 'Stargirl' (0.2) held even and led into another low-rated comedy special (0.1).

Finals Update: The repeat of NCIS (-0.1) adjusted down.

Tuesday TV Ratings 7/24/18: The Last Defense Ends with New Low, World of Dance Down (UPDATED)

Finals Update: The Last Defense (-0.1) adjusted down.

Time	Show	18-49 Ratings	Viewers (mil)	Channel
8 PM	America's Got Talent	2.0/9	1.52	NBC
	Beat Shazam	0.7/4	2.28	Fox
	The Middle (R)	0.5/3	2.57	ABC
	NCIS (R)	0.5/2	5.31	CBS
	The 100	0.3/1	0.86	The CW
8:30 PM	The Middle (R)	0.5/3	2.28	ABC
9 PM	Love Connection	0.5/3	1.82	Fox
	Blackish (R)	0.5/2	1.93	ABC
	SEAL Team (R)	0.4/2	3.50	CBS
	The Outpost	0.1/1	0.64	The CW
9:30 PM	Blackish (R)	0.5/3	1.69	ABC
10 PM	World of Dance	1.2/6	5.80	NBC
	NCIS: New Orleans (R)	0.5/2	4.15	CBS
	The Last Defense (F)	0.3/2	1.63	ABC

Summer Reality Renew/Cancel, Week 5: The Last Defense Isn’t Making a Strong Case for Itself

The past week has been quite busy for reality TV, with multiple premieres from CBS, multiple finales from NBC, and a scheduling change by ABC. Stay tuned for my analysis on some of these shows and more!

(Note: Downgrades are noted in purple bold type, upgrades are noted in blue bold type, and premieres are noted in italics.)
Certain to be Canceled:

Phenoms (0.2, 0.1-0.2)
Running Wild with Bear Grylls (0.7, 0.6-0.9)

Likely to be Canceled:
The Gong Show (0.5, 0.5-0.6)
The Last Defense (0.4, 0.4-0.5)
Love Connection (0.5, 0.5-0.6)
My Last Days (0.1)
Whistleblower (0.4)

Leans Cancellation:
48 Hours: NCIS (0.5, 0.4-0.5)
Little Big Shots (0.8, 0.7-1.1)

Leans Renewal:
Beat Shazam (0.7, 0.7-0.8)
The Four (0.7, 0.7-0.8)
So You Think You Can Dance (0.7, 0.6-0.8)
TKO: Total Knock Out (0.9)
The Proposal (0.7, 0.7-0.8)

Likely to be Renewed:
Celebrity Undercover Boss (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
Match Game (0.7, 0.6-0.7)
Masters of Illusion (0.2)

Whose Line Is It Anyway? (0.3, 0.3-0.4)

Certain to be Renewed:
The $100,000 Pyramid (1.0, 0.9-1.2)
American Ninja Warrior (1.1, 0.9-1.2)
America's Got Talent (2.3, 2.0-2.5)
The Bachelorette (1.4, 1.2-1.6)
Big Brother (1.3, 0.9-1.5)
Celebrity Family Feud (1.3, 1.1-1.8)
MasterChef (1.0, 0.9-1.2)
Penn & Teller: Fool Us (0.3)
To Tell the Truth (0.8 0.7-0.8)
What Would You Do? (0.6, 0.5-0.8)

Fate Determined:
24 Hours To Hell and Back (RENEWED)
World of Dance (RENEWED)

Yet to Premiere:
Pink Collar Crimes (July 2018)
Making It (July 2018)
Bachelor In Paradise (August 2018)
Castaways (August 2018)

The Last Defense: ABC's newest documentary series has not been a strong performer so far, dipping to an abysmal 0.4 on two occasions and only being able to muster a 0.5 on a good day. Still, I'm not certain that it's done. ABC's expectations for the series couldn't have been very high, considering its terrible timeslot. And despite being a flop, it's still an improvement on last season's timeslot occupant Somewhere Between. I have a hard time seeing it back next season, so it's still a LIKELY CANCELLATION, but it's not executed just yet.

TKO: Total Knock Out: CBS rarely sees summer success outside of a certain-to-be-renewed show called Big Brother, and that didn't stop last week with the premiere of new game show TKO. With a 0.9 start, the heavily-promoted series starring Kevin Hart doesn't look too promising. However, Big Brother isn't known for being a very good lead-in, and we've reached a point where 0.9 isn't a cancelable number in-season, let alone in Summer. We'll have to see how this plays out, but it starts in the LEANS RENEWAL category.

The Proposal: I won't try to say that The Proposal is not a flop, but it's definitely not the post-Bachelorette disaster that we're used to seeing. I've had it in the leaning cancellation category since it started, but I'm changing my tune now. I expected it to collapse pretty much immediately, but it hasn't done that yet. Granted, 0.6 is not a great number, but for a cheap reality series airing at 10 PM, it isn't too horrid, either. The Proposal now LEANS RENEWAL, though that doesn't mean I'm taking my eyes off it.

The Gong Show: I upgraded this show just last week, and I almost instantly regretted it. Not only because it fell back down to 0.5, but because ABC announced a scheduling change for its Thursday lineup, moving Gong to 10 PM and Take Two to 8 PM. A scheduling change of that caliber shows that ABC really doesn't care about The Gong Show, and is pretty much cutting its losses now. THis prompts a downgrade, to a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

Tuesday TV Ratings 7/17/18: World of Dance Steady, MLB All-Star Game Gives AGT a Run for its Money (UPDATED)

Finals Update: The MLB All-Star Game (+0.1) adjusted up.

Time	Show	18-49 Ratings	Viewers (mil)	Channel
8 PM	America's Got Talent	2.1/9	11.18	NBC
	MLB All-Star Game	2.1/9	8.34	Fox
	The Middle (R)	0.6/3	2.75	ABC
	NCIS (R)	0.6/3	5.48	CBS
	The 100	0.2/1	0.86	The CW
8:30 PM	The Middle (R)	0.5/2	2.07	ABC
9 PM	Bull (R)	0.5/2	4.40	ABC
	Blackish (R)	0.5/2	1.70	CBS
	The Outpost	0.2/1	0.65	The CW
9:30 PM	Blackish (R)	0.4/2	1.63	ABC
10 PM	World of Dance	1.3/6	6.00	NBC
	The Last Defense	0.4/2	1.62	ABC
	NCIS: New Orleans (R)	0.4/2	4.41	CBS

Tuesday TV Ratings 7/10/18: The Outpost Starts Horribly, The Last Defense Rises (UPDATED)

Finals Update: 20/20 (+0.1) adjusted up. The Outpost (-0.1) and World of Dance (-0.1) adjusted down.

Time	Show	18-49 Ratings	Viewers (mil)	Channel
8 PM	America's Got Talent	2.1/10	11.35	NBC
	Beat Shazam	0.7/4	2.24	Fox
	The Middle (R)	0.5/3	2.76	ABC
	NCIS (R)	0.5/3	5.54	CBS
	The 100	0.3/1	0.92	The CW
8:30 PM	Blackish (R)	0.5/2	2.13	ABC
9 PM	20/20	0.7/3	3.66	ABC
	Love Connection	0.5/2	1.57	Fox
	Bull (R)	0.4/2	4.34	CBS
	The Outpost (Series Premiere)	0.1/1	0.78	The CW
10 PM	World of Dance	1.2/6	6.00	NBC
	The Last Defense	0.5/3	2.68	ABC
	NCIS: New Orleans (R)	0.4/2	4.30	CBS