ABC Renew/Cancel Watch: Nashville is Likely to be Renewed

The Ratings Junkie Friday, November 13, 2015
Certain to be Canceled
Likely to be Canceled
Watching
Likely to be Renewed
Certain to be Renewed
Blood & Oil
Castle
Fresh Off The Boat
Last Man Standing
Grey’s Anatomy
Wicked City
The Muppets

Dr. Ken
Scandal



Quantico
The Middle



Nashville
The Goldbergs




Modern Family




Blackish




Once Upon a Time




Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D




How to Get Away with Murder

Changes from Last Week

-Nashville upgraded from "Watching" to "Likely to be Renewed"

Why is Nashville "Likely to be Renewed"?

Last week, I published the list of shows, and what rating they should be getting based solely off of expectations via ad rates. If you want to visit/revisit that, click here. Anyways, Nashville's raw number this season as of that publication was only 0.09 below the ad rate and rating being correlated. Additionally, Nashville supposedly makes tons of money off of music sales and tours, as well as the fact that the City of Nashville is helping to pay for the production cost. What's even more, ABC already has two easy cancellations to make when it comes to dramas, with Castle looking like it's on its way out as well. Because of the above factors, Nashville may be able to squeak out another season. Maybe not a full fifth season, but a fifth season nonetheless. Stay tuned.
Why Are Last Man Standing and Dr Ken "Likely to be Renewed"?

Last Man Standing seems to be benefiting from syndication a little bit, and Dr. Ken is performing surprisingly well this season, typically staying steady at around a 1.2, tying its lead-in. They are to ABC's Friday what The Middle and The Goldbergs are to Wednesday. Both have very renewable ratings. However, I think this all comes down to Tim Allen's contract on Last Man Standing. If they can't bring back Tim Allen, then Last Man Standing isn't coming back, and if that is the case, then I'm willing to bet Dr Ken is also not returning. The reason behind this is that ABC has had an incredibly tough time launching a second multi-cam comedy behind Last Man Standing, and I imagine that would have a similar situation trying to do the same with Dr Ken. So whatever the fate of one of the shows is the fate of the other. Fresh Off The Boat may also become a factor here, as 20th Century FOX Studios may want to convince ABC to package the show with Last Man Standing for a renewal.
Fresh Off The Boat may also become a factor here, as 20th Century FOX Studios may want to convince ABC to package the show with Last Man Standing for a renewal.

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