Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - July 3: Zoo Will Likely be Renewed

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. This is week three, and this week gave me two more tallies in the "win" column. I correctly predicted the cancelations of NBC's American Odyssey and A.D.: The Bible Continues. These cancelations were far from surprising, as American Odyssey suffered low ratings its entire 13-episode run, and A.D. fell hard in the ratings after its first couple of episodes. Odyssey aired its now series finale last Sunday, and A.D. aired its the previous Sunday. Also this week, CBS's Zoo aired its series premiere and Extant of the same network began its second season. These premieres aired on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. Now for my predictions! Here are the summer shows divided into categories, and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

(Note: This week, the averages for The Astronaut Wives Club, Mistresses, Rookie Blue, Under the Dome, and Wayward Pines could be slightly incorrect due to Thursday final ratings being delayed until Monday. If any of these shows' average ratings are affected by adjustments, I will let you know. However, I would doubt that it would be significant enough to affect my predictions.)

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.5)

Will Likely be Canceled
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.1)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.0)

Toss-Up
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (0.9)
Extant (CBS) (0.8)
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.6)

Will Likely be Renewed
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.2)
Zoo (CBS) (1.2)

Certain to be Renewed

Fate Determined
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) CANCELED
American Odyssey (NBC) CANCELED
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)

Zoo's premiere rating was not the best. It premiered to an underwhelming 1.2 rating. However, last year Extant fell as low as 0.8 and got renewed, due to CBS's deal with Amazon. CBS doesn't have a deal with Amazon regarding Zoo. But, they have a slightly better deal with Netflix. So, at this point, it's looking like money from Netflix will cause CBS to renew Zoo. But, Extant premiered to a 1.6 last year. Zoo could fall like Extant did. Will it still get renewed? We will just have to see how far it falls.

Speaking of Extant, it premiered this week to a series low, 0.7. That is a disastrous rating that begs the question, will money from Amazon still save it? The problem is, we have no idea the answer to that question. We will need to watch in future weeks and see how low Extant goes. But how low can Extant go and still get renewed? Your guess is as good as mine.

Last week, I predicted that The Whispers would get renewed on June 30th, as that was the day where the cast's contracts expired. However, ABC made no decision on The Whispers, neither renewing nor canceling it. But, by not renewing it, ABC let the cast's contracts expire, which will make it much harder to renew the series. This shows a major lack of confidence from ABC, which is why I have moved it down to "will likely be canceled". However, they didn't cancel it either, showing that they are not completely done with The Whispers at this point.

Last week I also told you that I would adjust my prediction for Wayward Pines. I was expecting to move it upward, to "will likely be renewed", but this week's rating told me it needed to go in the other direction. FOX press releases about the show make it sound like they don't plan on renewing it. However, I still had hope that it just needed to stay stable, maybe have some slight growth, and it would get renewed. And I expected it to have at least a 1.2 rating last night. But, it only notched a 1.0, tying its low (its premiere), and making me think that this show will be one-and-done. Luckily for fans, the show is supposed to have a satisfying ending.

This week I have three ABC dramas at a "toss-up", all three of their Thursday night dramas. Next week, I will move at least one of them, maybe more. Also, next week British series Dates premieres on the CW. So, come back next week to see!

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!

Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - June 19: A.D.: The Bible Continues is Certain to be Canceled

Hi! I'm Hunter (I'm HV in the comments), and this is my first renew/cancel prediction post, which I hope to post each weekend this summer. Many websites do this kind of thing during the regular season, but it is hard to guess if the shows that you are watching this summer is going to get renewed or canceled. These predictions will cover all scripted summer shows on the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, FOX, NBC, CW). Each post will include those shows that have aired at least one episode this summer put into one of five categories, unless they have already been renewed or canceled. These five categories are: Certain to be Canceled, Will Likely be Canceled, Toss-Up, Will Likely be Renewed, and Certain to be Renewed. After this, I will talk about a few shows and go more in depth about their chances. I hope you enjoy these posts!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) (1.1)
American Odyssey (NBC) (0.6)
Aquarius (NBC) (0.9)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.6)

Will Likely be Canceled
Hannibal (NBC) (0.6)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.1)

Toss-Up
Wayward Pines (FOX) (1.1)
Mistresses (ABC)  (0.9)

Will Likely be Renewed
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (1.1)

Certain to be Renewed

Fate Determined
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Extant (CBS)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Rookie Blue (ABC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Under the Dome (CBS)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)
Zoo (CBS)

In May, leading up to the network upfronts, the networks renewed or canceled most of their shows that were currently airing. However, NBC did not renew or cancel A.D.: The Bible Continues or American Odyssey, despite the fact that they both premiered at the beginning of April. Both shows have almost finished their runs now, A.D. has one more episode left, while Odyssey has two. American Odyssey has been an obvious cancelation from early on. A.D.: The Bible Continues started out looking like it would surely be renewed. However, after a couple of weeks, the ratings dropped. It now has low ratings, and it appears to be a high-cost show, which makes it a certain cancelation as well.

Hannibal returned for season three this summer. The critically acclaimed show premiered in the late spring in 2013 and went into the summer. Season two aired in the winter/spring of 2014 on Fridays. For season three, it returned to Thursdays and is airing completely during the summer. The show is inexpensive, due to being an international co-production, which is the reason that it has lasted as long as it has so far. Ratings for season three have fallen though, and it might be low enough for NBC to cancel it. However, I am sure that Hannibal will get a forth season, since Amazon has said that they plan on picking up the show if NBC cancels it, so if you are a fan of the show, you don't need to worry.

Wayward Pines was an unexpected surprise this summer. Despite premiering to a 1.0, it rose to 1.2 in week two, and has gotten that rating every week except one, where it got a 1.1. There are five more episodes remaining, and without basketball as competition, it could rise even farther. It's hard to say whether it will be renewed or canceled at this point though, because we don't know what kind of ratings FOX is looking for. Last summer, FOX aired two scripted shows, 24: Live Another Day and Gang Related. Gang Related did worse than Wayward Pines is doing this season, and was canceled. FOX was pleased with the ratings that 24 got, shown by how they are doing something similar with The X-Files and plan on making another 24 series. Last summer, 24 did better than Pines is doing this season. Will Wayward Pines be renewed or canceled? We're going to have to wait and see.

The Astronaut Wives Club premiered last night. It has been advertised as a "10-episode event" (Aquarius and Wayward Pines are also both being advertised as an event series), but does that mean it can't be renewed? Advertising the series as an "event" implies that it is a mini-series, but really, it usually means that it can be renewed, but if it doesn't do well, we will probably hear that it was only meant to go one season anyway. It premiered to a 1.1, and two seasons ago Mistresses premiered to a 1.2, and Mistresses aired after The Bachelorette, while The Astronaut Wives Club has to air at 8:00. Right now, its chances are looking good. But, remember, there are nine more weeks left of The Astronaut Wives Club, and things can change quickly.

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think that the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!