ABC Renew/Cancel Week 6: Bless This Mess and Single Parents Trade Spaces

We're still waiting on a midseason schedule from ABC, but that doesn't mean there aren't any prediction changes this week. Quite the contrary, actually, as two of ABC's bubble comedies switch predictions this time around as the final update of 2019 nears.

Certain Cancellation:
Emergence (0.6)

Likely Cancellation
Schooled (0.8)

Leans Cancellation:
Single Parents (0.7)

Leans Renewal
Bless This Mess (0.8)
Stumptown (0.6)

Likely Renewal:
American Housewife (0.6)
A Million Little Things (0.8)
Mixed-ish (0.7)
The Rookie (0.6)

Certain Renewal:
Black-ish (0.7)
The Conners (1.2)
The Good Doctor (0.8)
The Goldbergs (0.9)

Already Renewed:
Grey's Anatomy

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Fresh Off the Boat
How To Get Away With Murder
Modern Family

Coming Soon:
The Baker & The Beauty
For Life
Station 19
United We Fall

Bless This Mess: I know that this is an unconventional time to pick to upgrade ABC's Nebraska-set sitcom, but an upward move for Mess has been in the works for some time and I just haven't had the time to talk about it until now. The show hasn't been a very strong part of the ABC comedy lineup, but it appears to be a network favorite judging by its prime placement behind The Conners this fall. ABC also granted it a six-episode backorder. This usually would indicate that they aren't that high on the show, seeing as it's not a full 22 episodes. However, considering the 19-episode order for lead-in The Conners, a shorter-than-average order is not a warning sign, and may even be a sign that they're protecting it. Seeing as they have a perfectly legitimate midseason option for the Tuesday at 8:30 slot (United We Fall), the fact that they plan to air Bless This Mess with The Conners for the entirety of the season means that they seem to be satisfied with its performance. The show's even overperforming its ad rates by a decent margin, so it's now LEANING RENEWAL.

Single Parents: As one ABC comedy rises, another one falls. That's what's happening this week at least, as Single Parents takes a drop in the predictions to become only the third show to have a cancellation prediction at this point. While not noticably weaker than Bless This Mess or the Ish shows in the L+SD ratings, Single Parents is underperforming based on its ad rates while those shows are not. Underperforming your ad rates isn't always a sign of certain death, just look at The Good Doctor and The Goldbergs, which are underperforming their ad rates this year but are very likely to return next season due to strong ratings performances. Single Parents can't say that. It's consistently posting mediocre retention from Modern Family, delivering ratins that are below-average while occupying a prime comedy timeslot. Its underperformance is on the level of Schooled, which I see as ABC's most likely comedy to be cut. While Single Parents isn't out yet, it's down this time, and is now LEANING CANCELLATION.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

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