Elsbeth, The Good Wife Spinoff, Ordered To Series By CBS

 

'The Good Fight' to Premiere February 19th on CBS

We'll soon be seeing Diane Lockhart back on the TV. CBS has announced that the Good Wife spinoff 'The Good Fight' will premiere on February 19th at 8 PM on CBS, before moving to CBS All Access. Plans to premiere the show on CBS were announced earlier, but the premiere date was just now announced.

CBS All-Access Orders Good Wife Spinoff

In some more shocking CBS news, it has just been announced that a Good Wife spin-off is headed to CBS All-Access starring Christine Baranski. Although the original series just ended, CBS is looking to keep its legacy alive on its paid service platform. Considering The Good Wife is known to have a more upper-income audience, this could really play out well for them.

What do you think? Let us know in the comments below!

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Rush Hour' Certain to be Canceled

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of April 1, 2016.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.0 / 2.7 / 2.24	-6.7%
3	Life in Pieces	1.7 / 2.6 / 2.00	--
4	Scorpion	1.5 / 2.2 / 1.80	-21.7%
5	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.2 / 1.79	-28.4%
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 2.5 / 1.75	-16.7%
7	Supergirl	1.3 / 3.1 / 1.71	--
8	Mom	1.5 / 1.8 / 1.69	-26.5%
9	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63	-18.5%
10	Mike & Molly	1.6 / 1.7 / 1.62	-16.9%
11	Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders	1.3 / 1.6 / 1.47	--
12	Angel from Hell	1.3 / 1.6 / 1.42	--
13	Limitless	1.1 / 1.9 / 1.39	--
14	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.6 / 1.33	-16.9%
15	Madam Secretary	1.0 / 2.0 / 1.26	-12.5%
16	Code Black	1.0 / 1.5 / 1.26	--
17	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.25	-3.8%
18	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14	-5.0%
19	Rush Hour	- / 1.1 / 1.10	--
20	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.4 / 1.05	-11.7%
21	Elementary	0.8 / 1.2 / 1.02	-21.5%
22	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.1 / 0.91	-35.0%

On 3/25, CBS renewed Scorpion, NCIS: New Orleans, Mom, 2 Broke Girls, NCIS: LA, Madam Secretary, Blue Bloods, Hawaii Five-0, and Elementary for new seasons. All of these were correctly predicted by The TV Ratings Guide and have been marked as "Already Renewed" in the table.
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders has been upgraded to "Likely to be Renewed" status this week, as it continues to stay afloat in its first three episodes and slightly overperform in light of the cynical expectations. While it dipped slightly to a 1.3 in its third airing this week, that's still a fairly good result for a 10pm drama in the spring and is still higher than what Code Black averaged in the timeslot. It could be a good international sell for being part of a highly successful and recognizable brand. The Criminal Minds franchise is very lucrative for CBS and this midseason spinoff looks similar to the CSI: Cyber situation from last year, which did well enough in its limited first season to secure a renewal (even if it was sentenced to Sundays at 10). CBS could keep it where it is in the fall and hope it continues to be a solid companion to Criminal Minds, plug a hole on Sundays with it like CSI: Cyber temporarily did, or order more episodes for midseason. The network didn't have the greatest luck with new dramas this season. It's possible they are willing to settle for a familiar formula in the meanwhile and hope their next round does better. We'll see how it continues to rate in the coming weeks.
Rush Hour premiered to a weak 1.1 rating on Thursday. CBS doesn't own it. It's the fourth lowest-rated show on the network after just one episode. There's no incentive to entertain it as a legitimate contender for renewal with many healthier options available to CBS. It's "Certain to be Canceled." 

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'CSI: Cyber' Needs Critical Tech Support

CBS

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of March 15, 2016. (Please Note: At the time of posting, the final 3/14 ratings for Supergirl, Scorpion, and NCIS: LA were not available. Thus, the 3/14 ratings will be factored into the index table in the next edition.)

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.0 / 2.7 / 2.27	-5.4%
3	Life in Pieces	1.8 / 2.6 / 2.02	--
4	Scorpion	1.5 / 2.2 / 1.84	-20.0%
5	Supergirl	1.4 / 3.1 / 1.77	--
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 2.5 / 1.76	-16.2%
7	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.0 / 1.76	-29.6%
8	Mom	1.5 / 1.8 / 1.69	-26.5%
9	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63	-18.5%
10	Mike & Molly	1.6 / 1.7 / 1.62	-16.9%
11	Angel from Hell	1.3 / 1.6 / 1.42	--
12	Limitless	1.1 / 1.9 / 1.41	--
13	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.6 / 1.34	-16.3%
14	Madam Secretary	1.0 / 2.0 / 1.28	-11.1%
15	Code Black	1.0 / 1.5 / 1.26	--
16	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.25	-3.8%
17	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14	-5.0%
18	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.4 / 1.06	-11.7%
19	Elementary	0.8 / 1.2 / 1.04	-20.0%
20	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.1 / 0.91	-35.0%

Why is "Life In Pieces" Certain to be Renewed? Remarkably, the freshman comedy has held up very well through 20 episodes. It has averaged 2.02 so far this season, with a season low of only 1.8. There's an audience for it. It's CBS's #2 comedy and #3 scripted series overall. It doesn't hurt that the show has received critical praise and gives CBS a relatively successful single-cam, which they persistently want to find success with. A second season is guaranteed at this point, but the real test will be how it performs away from the cushy post-Big Bang spot next season.

Why is "Scorpion" Certain to be Renewed?
The sophomore drama has been a reliable performer for CBS since its debut in 2014. Even though it's down 20 percent Y2Y, it's averaging a 1.84 and easily remains the network's #2 drama, #4 show overall, and a staple for CBS Mondays.

Why is "Supergirl" Certain to be Renewed?
Supergirl offers the highest ratings for a CBS freshman drama this season, trumping Limitless and Code Black. Some might look at its 20-episode first season as a detriment (not getting the "full 22" treatment), but it really doesn't matter at this point. CBS won't drop its best-performing new drama, especially when the network appears comfortable with and excited over its potential as an installment in the overarching network TV superhero narrative. Like Life In Pieces, the challenge will be its second season ratings. That's an issue for the 2016-17 CBS Renew/Cancel Watch.

Why is "NCIS: New Orleans" Certain to be Renewed?
The NCIS franchise is thriving. There's no way CBS severs such a lucrative franchise this season with all of the shows that are much worse off.

Why is "Criminal Minds" Certain to be Renewed?
The Y2Y drop of 29.6 percent is CBS's second worst of the season to date. However, the drama can still yield a 2.0 when it wants to. That's got serious value. Should CBS move it to 10pm next season? Probably. The 10pm hour is trouble for CBS, with Stalker, Code Black, and even CSI: Cyber's two-episode stint failing to really make a mark. Anything 1.4+ next season would be relative gold for that timeslot, while allowing a new drama to take shape at 9 after Survivor.

Why is "Mom" Certain to be Renewed?"
It's CBS's #3 comedy and will have three full seasons under its belt. You can't exactly apply the "Chuck Lorre" rule of thumb anymore, what with Mike & Molly thrown to the wolves this season, but it's still a valuable player for CBS and will live on at least through a 4th season, if not several more than that. There are absolutely no signs that this one is being eyed for a surprise cancellation.
  Why is "2 Broke Girls" Likely to be Renewed? Can the same reasoning above be applied to 2 Broke Girls? Not exactly. The raunchy comedy is in its 5th season and has been benched and moved repeatedly across CBS's schedule. All things considered, its 1.63 seasonal average isn't so bad, especially compared to Angel From Hell's weak performance in the Thursday at 9:30 timeslot (where 2BG has aired most of its episodes). Plus, it's hard to even entertain The Odd Couple in a comparative sense, seeing as though it'll return a year after it aired, with only 13 episodes for its second season. Nonetheless, The Big Bang Theory, Mom, and Life In Pieces already round out a decent slate of comedies for the network's 2016-2017 season. There's reason to believe Kat Dennings and Beth Behrs are not CBS's top priority anymore as their show continues to age, but there's little reason to believe that it won't at least get a 13-episode sixth (and final) season a la Mike & Molly. If CBS keeps just two comedy hours in the fall, then I suspect 2 Broke Girls will be benched. If CBS tries three comedy hours again, then I suspect 2 Broke Girls will be slotted in the fall. Time will tell, but the comedy will more than likely see a sixth season, even if its a short and final one.
Why is "Limitless" Likely to be Renewed?
This one has been the toughest to call for some time now. It's doing about the same as Code Black in recent months, which isn't a positive thing. However, it's a well-liked procedural that fits the CBS bill, boasts a higher seasonal average, and had the confidence from CBS with 22 episodes compared to Code Black's 18. I'm betting on CBS being generous with another of its freshman dramas, but I don't know that the same generosity can be extended to both Limitless and Code Black.

Why is "NCIS: LA" Certain to be Renewed?
Compared to its sister shows, NCIS: LA appears to be the weakest in face-value ratings. However, it's doing important work in the Monday at 10 timeslot. Not only has it saved that slot from previous failures (namely, Hostages and Intelligence), but it's putting up CBS's best 10pm numbers, often higher than CSI: Cyber, Limitless, Code Black, Elementary, and Blue Bloods. That power is not to be diminished. Again, it's part of an advantageous franchise that CBS isn't going to break up this season with many shows passively failing to push it out of contention.

Why is "Madam Secretary" Likely to be Renewed?
This show has fallen so far under the radar when it comes to talking CBS renewals and cancellations, but that's in the show's ultimate benefit. Sunday's a rough night for CBS, and with the help of football/60 Minutes overrun, Madam Secretary has so far managed to keep a pulse. CBS is already ending The Good Wife on Sundays, and CSI: Cyber, by most accounts, will be joining it at a much faster pace. They can't cancel the entire night, and this one will have two full seasons by May. A four-season run might be a legitimate investment that CBS is willing to make, with Tea Leoni temporarily serving as the new Julianna Margulies.

Why is "Code Black" Likely to be Canceled? I have my reservations about Code Black that have kept it at a cancellation level for the majority of its run. Its the weakest freshman show for the network with only a 1.26 average after 18 episodes. Traditional renew/cancel reasoning would suggest that both of those data points (1.26 average + 18-episode season) are cause for certain cancellation. However, broadcast television standards are slowly changing, Les Moonves has claimed that "around five" of the network's freshman series will be renewed, and the general ratings bar is slightly lowered every season to account for the expected annual declines. Could Code Black somehow, in some way, pull off a major win and get its second season? Yeah, it could, but it's a real reach if Limitless gets favored first. Also, Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders sequel/spinoff series will be premiering this week, which could be a determining factor for Code Black. Keep your eyes on this one in the coming week or so, amidst CBS's annual early announcements (last year was Sunday, March 22) and the arrival of Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders.

Why is "Blue Bloods" Certain to be Renewed? Blue Bloods is the staple for CBS Fridays, putting up the best numbers on the night even at the latest hour. It's down a remarkably thin 3.8 percent Y2Y and has time to kill before CBS needs to move new veterans into the Friday Retirement Farm.

Why is "Hawaii Five-0" Likely to be Renewed? Like Blue Bloods, Hawaii Five-0 is a reliable performer on Fridays. It's the third lowest-rated show on the network, but it's a Friday show and gets some slack for that. With CBS's new batch of dramas having varied levels of success, plus one drama already ending and a good two on the foreseeable way out, some veterans with syndication benefits will likely get spared. 
Why is "Elementary" Likely to be Renewed? Elementary has an incredibly lucrative $3M/episode syndication package with WGN, which is largely what has kept it around for four seasons with the low ratings it consistently has. It's moving to Sundays at 10 this season, which is where it'll have to prove its ultimate value. If it can manage to average ~1.0 in that slot, there's no reason to expect CBS to turn its cheek on its syndication prospects after this season, even for a 13-episode fifth and final run.

Why is "CSI: Cyber" Certain to be Canceled?

It's handily the lowest-rated show on the network and had its season two order cut to 18 episodes. Anyone who predicts a renewal for this one knows something that I don't. It's been said that international sales and the tie-in to the larger CSI universe can help it, but does CBS really have the room or affection for more seasons of a show that has 29 episodes, a network-low 0.91 seasonal average, gained and lost a star in a single season (Ted Danson), aired two episodes out of its timeslot, and got its episode order cut short? CBS might as well bring Medium back if they are interested in keeping Patricia Arquette and a familiar property on television.

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What do you think of my predictions? Feel free to share your thoughts and predictions below.

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 100+ Million Watch 'The Good Wife' ... Announce Its Final Season

CBS

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of February 7, 2015.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.1 / 2.7 / 2.27	-5.4%
3	Life in Pieces	1.8 / 2.6 / 2.02	--
4	Scorpion	1.7 / 2.2 / 1.85	-19.6%
5	Supergirl	1.5 / 3.1 / 1.82	--
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 2.5 / 1.75	-16.7%
7	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.0 / 1.75	-30.0%
8	Mom	1.5 / 1.8 / 1.67	-27.4%
9	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63	-18.5%
10	Mike & Molly	1.6 / 1.7 / 1.62	-16.9%
11	Limitless	1.2 / 1.9 / 1.48	--
12	Angel from Hell	1.3 / 1.6 / 1.42	--
13	Madam Secretary	1.0 / 2.0 / 1.31	-9.0%
14	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.6 / 1.33	-16.9%
15	Code Black	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.28	--
16	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.24	-4.6%
17	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14	-5.0%
18	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.4 / 1.08	-10.0%
19	Elementary	0.8 / 1.2 / 1.04	-20.0%
20	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.1 / 0.88	-37.1%

During Super Bowl 50 on Sunday night, millions of people watching the game (a figure so insanely high) were shown the first official "Final Season" promo for CBS's long-running legal drama, The Good Wife. The TV spot announces the remaining nine episodes of the current season to be the show's last. This news has been largely expected, with star Julianna Margulies recently speaking out about being "unemployed come April," along with co-creators Robert and Michelle King announcing their departure after this season. Sorry to all the Good Wife fans out there, but this one effectively moves into the red in the chart above as CBS's first veteran drama cancellation of the season. At least the network was smart to take advantage of the high viewership levels of the Super Bowl in an effort to transfer some eyeballs to the show's final string of episodes. If the last six years have been any indication, viewership is likely to exceed 100 million again this year, which is far more than the drama's current seasonal average of just over 8 million weekly viewers.

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Are you surprised by the cancellation and final season announcement for The Good Wife?
Do you think any other shows will get a final season announcement in the coming months?

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'The Good Wife' Certain to be Canceled

CBS

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of January 23, 2015.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.1 / 2.7 / 2.27	-5.4%
3	Life in Pieces	1.8 / 2.6 / 2.01	--
4	Scorpion	1.7 / 2.2 / 1.85	-19.6%
5	Supergirl	1.5 / 3.1 / 1.85	--
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 2.5 / 1.75	-16.7%
7	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.0 / 1.73	-30.8%
8	Mom	1.5 / 1.8 / 1.67	-27.4%
9	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.64	-18.0%
10	Mike & Molly	1.6 / 1.7 / 1.63	-16.4%
11	Limitless	1.2 / 1.9 / 1.48	--
12	Angel from Hell	1.3 / 1.6 / 1.43	--
13	Madam Secretary	1.0 / 2.0 / 1.33	-7.6%
14	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.6 / 1.32	-17.5%
15	Code Black	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.28	--
16	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.24	-4.6%
17	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14	-5.00%
18	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.4 / 1.09	-9.2%
19	Elementary	0.8 / 1.2 / 1.02	-21.5%
20	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.1 / 0.87	-37.9%

With Julianna Margulies speaking out this week about being unemployed come April, it sounds like The Good Wife is losing its leading lady by the end of its current season. This news comes shortly after co-creators Robert and Michelle King announced that they won't return as showrunners, should the legal drama be picked up for an eighth season. The Kings have been forward about their seven season plan since the beginning, and they now have their attention set on another CBS project, BrainDead. Does the loss of its lead and creators/showrunners signal the end of The Good Wife? I am thinking so. It's a low-rated, seventh-season show. This thing won't float anymore without the titular Good Wife in action. It's "Certain to be Canceled."

The progressive downward trend for Limitless is a bit worrying, as it hit a series low 1.2 this week. This isn't a great result, seeing as though it was CBS's second lowest rated show of the entire week. Even Code Black managed to top it (1.4). I'm placing the drama "On the Bubble" for the time being. It has a full season in its favor, but its recent ratings delivery is not convincing as far as a second season goes. It was once considered a very decent new player for CBS, but I think Supergirl has stolen that consideration from it. We'll see how it holds up in the coming weeks.
With that said, I have decided to upgrade Hawaii Five-O to "Likely to be Renewed." The show has been remarkably consistent (albeit very low) and a nearly perfect counterpart to Blue Bloods. I think both shows returning is a safe bet, considering CBS has bigger problems across the schedule. Its current 1.14 average is down only 5 percent from last season, which had a 1.2 average and got renewed. Spring ratings could dampen that average, but we're taking it one day at a time here.

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What are your thoughts on my predictions? Do you think CBS or will renew or cancel Limitless?  Also: Guests, check out the newly enabled guest commenting. We'd love to hear your thoughts.

Juliana Marguiles Leaving The Good Wife; Is it Ending?

I have learned that star Juliana Marguiles has said that she will be unemployed in April, meaning that she is leaving the show. With low ratings already the norm, it's highly doubted the show will continue
without her. Mark it as another correct prediction for The TV Ratings Guide for now, unless CBS is daring enough to go forward.

What do you think will take The Good Wife's place on the schedule? Will Madam Secretary shift up to 9? Are you surprised about this news? Let us know in the comments below!

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Supergirl' Likely to be Renewed

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of January 17, 2015.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.1 / 2.7 / 2.26	-5.8%
3	Life in Pieces	1.8 / 2.6 / 2.01	--
4	Supergirl	1.5 / 3.1 / 1.86	--
5	Scorpion	1.7 / 2.2 / 1.83	-20.4%
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 2.5 / 1.74	-17.1%
7	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.0 / 1.70	-32.0%
8	Mom	1.5 / 1.8 / 1.66	-27.8%
9	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63	-18.5%
10	Mike & Molly	- / 1.6 / 1.60	-17.9%
11	Limitless	1.3 / 1.9 / 1.51	--
12	Angel from Hell	1.3 / 1.6 / 1.45	--
13	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.6 / 1.29	-21.3%
14	Code Black	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.28	--
15	Madam Secretary	1.0 / 1.5 / 1.26	-12.5%
16	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.4 / 1.20	-7.7%
17	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.3 / 1.08	-10.0%
18	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.2 / 1.06	-11.7%
19	Elementary	0.8 / 1.2 / 1.01	-22.3%
20	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.1 / 0.87	-37.9%

Angel from Hell has been marked as "Likely to be Canceled" after only two episodes. Last week, the comedy premiered to a mediocre 1.6 and fell 19 percent to a 1.3 this week. A freshman comedy on CBS with a 1.3 after only two episodes is unacceptable. I like to only move a show down/up one level per week, so unless it sees a significant uptick by its next airing, this one is headed for certain cancellation territory very soon.

With official word from CBS, Mike & Molly is ending this season with a conclusion and all. We knew this already, but this formality allows the show to be marked as "Already Canceled" in the index above. While its ratings are no longer significant to a renew/cancel prediction, I will continue to update its data.

Things aren't looking good for The Good Wife. Co-creators Robert and Michelle King will not return to serve as showrunners if the legal drama is picked up for an eighth season. This doesn't come as much of a surprise, since the Kings have been vocal about their seven season plan for some time now.  They are also spearheading a CBS project set for summer 2016, titled BrainDead. CBS's attitude toward The Good Wife doesn't sound promising either. While there is apparently a bench of producers that could step in to replace the Kings, CBS said that they have not made a decision on the future of the show yet. The ratings are low, its in its seventh season, and its losing its creators/showrunners. It's "Likely to be Canceled" right now, but I may be inclined to predict it as "Certain" soon. Check back on this one. Despite being torn apart by many commenters, Supergirl has actually been holding up decently after nine episodes. It hasn't dipped below 1.5 yet, which Limitless and Code Black certainly have. CBS seems to have a lot of faith in it, and its 20-episode season, compared to a traditional 22 for a full season, doesn't really harm its chances, from my perspective. It is CBS's #1 new drama and #4 scripted show, not to mention that network TV is high on superhero concepts right now. As long as it holds up in mid-to-high 1s, I think this one is "Likely to be Renewed" for a second season. Things could change by the end of the season, but right now, it's looking safe.

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What are your thoughts on my predictions? If you were CBS, would you renew or cancel Supergirl? Feel free to share your thoughts below!

CBS TCA Executive Session--Twitter Feed

As tweets come in about the CBS TCA executive session, I'll embed them into this post. Keep a

lookout on early renewals! Refresh for updates.

Not sure who controls the pre-game music at #TCA16 but hats off for playing all David Bowie. #RIP

— Lesley Goldberg (@Snoodit) January 12, 2016

CBS day at #TCA16 about to begin with the first exec session from new entertainment president Glenn Geller.

— Jason Lynch (@jasonlynch) January 12, 2016

CBS' sizzle reel for #TCA16 brought all the feels with cute clips from #Limitless #AngelFromHell #Mom #BigBangTheory and more!

— Tiffany Vogt (@TVWatchtower) January 12, 2016

Apparently Person of Interest also made the aforementioned reel.

Glenn Geller, new CBS prez, has plans for more reality TV at CBS. Huh. #TCA16

— Andrea Reiher (@Zap2itAndrea) January 12, 2016

New CBS boss calls #MadamSecretary the unsung hero of Sunday nights #TCA16

— Natalie Abrams (@NatalieAbrams) January 12, 2016

"He's the smartest guy in late night" - Geller on @colbertlateshow #TCA16

— Gwen Reyes (@ReelVixen) January 12, 2016

With all the different formats, Geller says that more people are watching CBS now than they were 15 years ago #TCA16

— Gwen Reyes (@ReelVixen) January 12, 2016

New @CBS Entertainment prez #GlennGeller sings praises of @BlueBloods_CBS and its ":damn sexy" ratings performance every Friday. #TCA16

— Jay Bobbin (@TMSJay) January 12, 2016

Geller says the new #StarTrek was always designed for their streaming service, no word yet on using classic characters. #TCA16 #CBS

— TV Insider (@tvinsider) January 12, 2016

TBD on if/which iconic characters will appear on CBS' #StarTrek #TCA16

— Jarett Wieselman (@JarettSays) January 12, 2016

Geller predicts that “Hunted,” his first buy as prez, will be CBS’ next big reality hit. #TCA16

— Daniel Fienberg (@TheFienPrint) January 12, 2016

CBS is making a reality show about being hunted by law enforcement. Sounds escapist, CBS! #TCA16

— Todd VanDerWerff (@tvoti) January 12, 2016

"Hunted" is new CBS reality show (coming ?). Teams of 2 are hunted by real law enforcement. Procedural + reality (= not watching). #TCA16

— Curt Wagner (@ShowPatrol) January 12, 2016

"No discussion or plans to a follow up for #UndertheDome," says CBS president Glenn Geller. #TCA16

— TV Guide Magazine (@TVGuideMagazine) January 12, 2016

CBS president Glenn Geller has no info on the creative side for #StarTrek and says CBS All Access is heading it on their own. #TCA16

— Eric Goldman (@TheEricGoldman) January 12, 2016

“We hope to get them on this spring” Glenn Geller on #PersonOfInterest’s next season #TCA16

— Jason Lynch (@jasonlynch) January 12, 2016

"I'm not sure." - CBS Pres Geller regarding if this is the last season of #PersonOfInterest #TCA16

— Carla Day (@CarlaDay) January 12, 2016

“I can confirm that this will be the last season of Mike & Molly” Glenn Geller #TCA16

— Jason Lynch (@jasonlynch) January 12, 2016

“They LITERALLY put blood, sweat and tears into the program,” Geller says of the “Mike & Molly” team. This WILL be the last season. #TCA16

— Daniel Fienberg (@TheFienPrint) January 12, 2016

"They are working on how Michael's character will be written out," says Glenn Geller on @M_Weatherly leaving #NCIS. Decision was his. #TCA16

— TV Guide Magazine (@TVGuideMagazine) January 12, 2016

"Not currently" any plans for Cote de Pablo to return to #NCIS to say goodbye to @M_Weatherly. #TCA16

— TV Guide Magazine (@TVGuideMagazine) January 12, 2016

What about #TheGoodWife? The Kings (EPs) not returning, but decision on another season hasn't been made. #TCA16

— Hank Stuever (@hankstuever) January 12, 2016

Uh oh. Robert & Michelle King won't return as #TheGoodWife showrunners next season, if there is one. #TCA16 #CBS

— Kristi Turnquist (@Kristiturnquist) January 12, 2016

“I think the fans will be very satisfied” with ending planned for #MikeAndMolly, says #CBS prez. #TCA16

— Scott D. Pierce (@ScottDPierce) January 12, 2016

CBS has a series commitment to Kevin James. "Can't wait to get Kevin James on the air." #TCA16 #CBS

— Tina Charles (@TinaCharlesTV) January 12, 2016

Geller on diversity: "We're casting color-conscious." Says CBS is developing shows with full African-American or Latino casts #TCA16

— TV Guide (@TVGuide) January 12, 2016

"There are questions as to whether or not #Supergirl fits the CBS brand," says Glenn Geller. "I absolutely believe it does." #TCA16

— TV Guide Magazine (@TVGuideMagazine) January 12, 2016

Glenn Geller says WB owning Mike & Molly and POI, instead of CBS, didn’t come into play in renewal discussions. Right. Sure. #TCA16

— Todd VanDerWerff (@tvoti) January 12, 2016

More new characters will be introduced on #Supergirl. CBS prez Glenn Geller teasers more surprises to come... #TCA16

— Elizabeth Wagmeister (@EWagmeister) January 12, 2016

"We will air #PersonofInterest" this spring, reconfirms CBS president Glenn Geller. #TCA16

— TV Guide Magazine (@TVGuideMagazine) January 12, 2016

"It can function as a season and series finale. Big, big surprises this season," says CBS president Glenn Geller of #PersonofInterest #TCA16

— TV Guide Magazine (@TVGuideMagazine) January 12, 2016

.@CBS Entertainment Head Glenn Geller on @RushHourCBS: It's a procedural but it's really about these two guys and it's funny as hell #TCA16

— Joe Otterson (@JoeOtterson) January 12, 2016

#CBS president Glenn Geller on strategies shared from network presidents: he jokes he had a sleepover at Dana & Gary’s house. #TCA16

— Debra Birnbaum (@debrabirnbaum) January 12, 2016

"We expect #TheBigBangTheory to be on for a while," says Glenn Geller in the scrum. No plans for CBS to end after Season 10. #TCA16

— Rob Moynihan (@robmoynihan) January 12, 2016

Looks like that's all! No early renewals this time. Thanks for joining us!

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Elementary' Likely to be Renewed

CBS

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch of the fall season! All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes follows. My current predictions are as of January 2, 2015.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.1 / 2.5 / 2.22	-7.5%
3	Life in Pieces	1.8 / 2.6 / 2.00	--
4	Supergirl	1.5 / 3.1 / 1.85	--
5	Scorpion	1.7 / 2.2 / 1.80	-21.7%
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 1.9 / 1.67	-20.5%
7	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.0 / 1.67	-33.2%
8	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.60	-20.0%
9	Mom	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63	-29.1%
10	Limitless	1.3 / 1.9 / 1.52	--
11	Madam Secretary	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.29	-10.4%
12	Code Black	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.28	--
13	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.4 / 1.26	-21.3%
14	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.3 / 1.19	-8.5%
15	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.1 / 1.07	-10.8%
16	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.2 / 1.06	-11.7%
17	Elementary	0.8 / 1.1 / 0.97	-25.4%
18	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.1 / 0.86	-40.7%

Here we are in 2016 already, but the new year hasn't exactly brought a great amount of change to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch just yet. While only one show's status has changed this week, expect Angel From Hell to potentially shake things up in the coming weeks, as well as Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders and The Odd Couple in the coming months. Elementary: The one change this week goes to Elementary, which is currently in its fourth season on CBS. The show has an incredibly lucrative syndication deal in place with WGN, yielding $3 million per episode. This is an incredible package deal that has motivated CBS to treat it with great care for the past four years. However, it's ratings are consistently very low and indicate that if it stays on the air and has a lock on that $3m/ep deal, it should retire to a slot where the expectations are slightly lower. Thus, in my mind, Sundays at 10 would be perfect to get another season or two out of the show merely for its syndication benefits. I have had Elementary "On the Bubble" for a good portion of this season, but I'm ready to promote it to "Likely to be Renewed" given that CBS would most likely axe a number of shows before it. I was concerned with it dipping to a 0.8 rating so early on in the season, but it has since rebounded to ~1.0 each week, which is bad, but a kind of good-bad, given its valuable deals in place. We'll see how the remainder of the season goes, but as of now, I think it's chances are fairly comfortable.

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Mike & Molly' Cancellation Bad News for '2 Broke Girls'?

Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch of the fall season! All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes follows. My current predictions are as of December 23, 2015.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank	Show Title	Season Low / High /Average	Y2Y Change
1	The Big Bang Theory	--	--
2	NCIS	2.1 / 2.5 / 2.22	-7.5%
3	Life in Pieces	1.8 / 2.6 / 2.00	--
4	Supergirl	1.5 / 3.1 / 1.85	--
5	Scorpion	1.7 / 2.2 / 1.80	-21.7%
6	NCIS: New Orleans	1.5 / 1.9 / 1.67	-20.5%
7	Criminal Minds	1.5 / 2.0 / 1.67	-33.2%
8	2 Broke Girls	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.60	-20.0%
9	Mom	1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63	-29.1%
10	Limitless	1.3 / 1.9 / 1.52	--
11	Madam Secretary	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.29	-10.4%
12	Code Black	1.1 / 1.5 / 1.28	--
13	NCIS: LA	1.1 / 1.4 / 1.26	-21.3%
14	Blue Bloods	1.1 / 1.3 / 1.19	-8.5%
15	Hawaii Five-0	1.0 / 1.1 / 1.07	-10.8%
16	The Good Wife	0.9 / 1.2 / 1.06	-11.7%
17	Elementary	0.8 / 1.1 / 0.97	-25.4%
18	CSI: Cyber	0.7 / 1.0 / 0.83	-40.7%

In light of the sudden cancellation of CBS's veteran comedy Mike & Molly, I have decided to downgrade 2 Broke Girls to a more conservative "Likely to be Renewed" status. While the show is down 20 percent year-to-year and has been posting middling ratings in its fifth season, I initially expected a renewal to be certain. For one, it seemed to have the advantage over Mike & Molly and The Odd Couple because it was given 22 episodes, while M&M and TOC were each allotted 13 for midseason. 2 Broke Girls has performed decently in the past compared to most of the network's comedies and has entered syndication as of this year. Also, CBS has seemingly treated its outside studio comedies with somewhat better care than its in-house comedies in recent years. However, when you are working with low-rated shows with little to no critical acclaim to benefit from, like The Millers and The McCarthys, who can blame CBS for ditching them? 

Mike & Molly's cancellation, in general, wasn't totally unexpected. It is aging, has never been a total breakout, and it's long been questioned whether Melissa McCarthy would want to continue doing this beyond its 100th episode paycheck. What was unexpected was its cancellation announcement coming this late in the season, after it produced almost all of its episodes, and not at all coming across as a "final sendoff season" type of network courtesy. Not to mention the fact that the network apparently didn't even formally have a sit-down with the show's creator (namely, Chuck Lorre, a modern comedy legend for producing hits like The Big Bang Theory and Two and a Half Men for CBS) when they inquired about the show's future. This all led to the stars of the show announcing that their show wouldn't be going ahead, even though McCarthy would be happy to keep it on. 

OK, OK. What does Mike & Molly have to do with 2 Broke Girls? Well, they both are produced by an outside studio - Warner Bros. TV. They rated similarly last season, as 2 Broke Girls averaged 2.02, and Mike & Molly averaged 1.95. If a Chuck Lorre comedy can get such an abrupt cancellation from CBS, anything is possible for its other comedies, especially 2 Broke Girls, which is currently the network's #4 (out of 4) comedy of the fall season. Although, time will tell if Angel From Hell and The Odd Couple will rank lower.

Regardless, I stand firm in thinking that 2 Broke Girls gets at least a 13-episode sixth season. I don't think CBS axes two relatively long-running comedies in one season. The Big Bang Theory has been renewed already, and Mom is very comfortable in securing at least a fourth season. Beyond the bare minimum syndication point for Mom might be a big question as to whether CBS and Chuck Lorre will continue the partnership, but it's got critical acclaim to back it up. Life In Pieces is also from an outside studio, and while it's averaged 2.0 thus far, it's still a weaker link behind The Big Bang Theory. CBS seems to be content with its performance, though, so it just might squeak out a second season, which could very possibly result in two-and-done if it is moved (almost assuredly) next season. 

Clearly, CBS renewing TBBT, Mom, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, AND The Odd Couple last season, coupled with two new comedies in Life In Pieces and Angel From Hell, was a poor decision because of the inability to schedule them all reasonably. Also, in deciding to order Supergirl as a Monday 8-9 replacement series, CBS didn't have the available scheduling for so many half hours as they did in previous seasons. With Supergirl getting 20 episodes, it's possible they will keep it around and make Monday nights strictly three hours of dramas for the most part going forward and ditching the comedy hour. 

Ultimately, CBS probably won't be as order-happy with comedies next season. I think they take the risk on another round of 2 Broke Girls, in addition to Mom and already-renewed TBBT, while The Odd Couple and Angel From Hell get sidelined. Life In Pieces might escape the chopping block this season, but I sense it could be two-and-done if it does get a renewal.